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Marlon Vera

Active #29 bantamweight · Switch · 173 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1592 ±37
LCB 1544
Rank
#29
top 30% of division
UFC record
15-11-0
KO 7 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
-4
Δ90d -18 · Δ1y -35
Last fight
Feb 28, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

26 fights · tap & drag
Nov 15, 2014 — L vs Marco Beltran Δ-29Aug 8, 2015 — W vs Roman Salazar Δ+33Feb 27, 2016 — L vs Davey Grant Δ-33Nov 26, 2016 — W vs Guangyou Ning Δ+34Mar 18, 2017 — W vs Brad Pickett Δ+30Jul 22, 2017 — W vs Brian Kelleher Δ+19Oct 28, 2017 — L vs John Lineker Δ-12Feb 3, 2018 — L vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Δ-18Aug 4, 2018 — W vs Wulijiburen Δ+15Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Guido Cannetti Δ+17Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Frankie Saenz Δ+17Jul 6, 2019 — W vs Nohelin Hernandez Δ+15Oct 12, 2019 — W vs Andre Ewell Δ+15May 16, 2020 — L vs Song Yadong Δ-15Aug 15, 2020 — W vs Sean O'Malley Δ+20Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-14Jun 19, 2021 — W vs Davey Grant Δ+12Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Frankie Edgar Δ+21Apr 30, 2022 — W vs Rob Font Δ+16Aug 13, 2022 — W vs Dominick Cruz Δ+20Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Cory Sandhagen Δ-16Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+14Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Sean O'Malley Δ-19Aug 3, 2024 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-14Oct 18, 2025 — L vs Aiemann Zahabi Δ-17Feb 28, 2026 — L vs David Martinez Δ-18 14311499156716351703 201620182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":204.8,"elo":1471,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Marco Beltran","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":79,"y":178.7,"elo":1505,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Roman Salazar","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":120.9,"y":204.2,"elo":1472,"date":"2016-02-27","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":177.3,"y":177.4,"elo":1506,"date":"2016-11-26","opp":"Guangyou Ning","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":200.5,"y":153.7,"elo":1537,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Brad Pickett","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":226.5,"y":139.2,"elo":1555,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Brian Kelleher","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":246.8,"y":148.7,"elo":1543,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"John Lineker","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":267,"y":162.7,"elo":1525,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Douglas Silva de Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":304.6,"y":150.7,"elo":1540,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Wulijiburen","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":326.3,"y":137.8,"elo":1557,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Guido Cannetti","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":352.4,"y":124.6,"elo":1574,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Frankie Saenz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":374.1,"y":113.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Nohelin Hernandez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":394.3,"y":101.3,"elo":1604,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Andre Ewell","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":439.2,"y":113.2,"elo":1588,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Song Yadong","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":458,"y":97.8,"elo":1608,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":15,"x":484,"y":109,"elo":1594,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":521.6,"y":99.6,"elo":1606,"date":"2021-06-19","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":17,"x":550.5,"y":83.4,"elo":1627,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":18,"x":586.7,"y":70.7,"elo":1643,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Rob Font","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":19,"x":608.4,"y":55.2,"elo":1663,"date":"2022-08-13","opp":"Dominick Cruz","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":20,"x":654.7,"y":67.8,"elo":1647,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":21,"x":685.1,"y":56.8,"elo":1661,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":727,"y":71.9,"elo":1641,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":23,"x":757.4,"y":83.1,"elo":1627,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":24,"x":848.5,"y":96.3,"elo":1610,"date":"2025-10-18","opp":"Aiemann Zahabi","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":25,"x":876,"y":110.5,"elo":1592,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"David Martinez","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 28, 2026 David Martinez L -18
Oct 18, 2025 Aiemann Zahabi L -17
Aug 3, 2024 Deiveson Figueiredo L -14
Mar 9, 2024 Sean O'Malley L -19
Aug 19, 2023 Pedro Munhoz W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.95 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
48% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.04 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.44 avg 1.69
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 36%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.72 avg 0.36
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
73%
11 / 15
Finish rate
KO
7
47% of wins
SUB
4
27% of wins
DEC
4
27% of wins
KO: 7 (47%) 7 Sub: 4 (27%) 4 Dec: 4 (27%) 4
Finishes by round
11 total
R1
3 27%
R2
4 36%
R3
3 27%
R4
1 9%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1625
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
13.3
actual +2 vs expected