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Marlon Vera "Chito"

Active #27 bantamweight · age 33 · Switch · 5'8" 173 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Sep 19
vs Charles Jourdain · UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 73% of wins by KO or submission
  • UFC veteran since 2014
Elo rating
1542
Global Elo 1592 ±39
Rank
#27
top 35% of division
UFC record
15-11-0
KO 7 · Sub 4 · Dec 4
Streak
-4
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -35
Last fight
Feb 28, 2026
Loss by Decision

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

26 fights · tap & drag
Nov 15, 2014 — L vs Marco Beltran Δ-29Aug 8, 2015 — W vs Roman Salazar Δ+33Feb 27, 2016 — L vs Davey Grant Δ-33Nov 26, 2016 — W vs Guangyou Ning Δ+34Mar 18, 2017 — W vs Brad Pickett Δ+30Jul 22, 2017 — W vs Brian Kelleher Δ+19Oct 28, 2017 — L vs John Lineker Δ-12Feb 3, 2018 — L vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Δ-18Aug 4, 2018 — W vs Wulijiburen Δ+15Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Guido Cannetti Δ+17Mar 23, 2019 — W vs Frankie Saenz Δ+17Jul 6, 2019 — W vs Nohelin Hernandez Δ+15Oct 12, 2019 — W vs Andre Ewell Δ+15May 16, 2020 — L vs Song Yadong Δ-15Aug 15, 2020 — W vs Sean O'Malley Δ+20Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Jose Aldo Δ-14Jun 19, 2021 — W vs Davey Grant Δ+12Nov 6, 2021 — W vs Frankie Edgar Δ+21Apr 30, 2022 — W vs Rob Font Δ+16Aug 13, 2022 — W vs Dominick Cruz Δ+20Mar 25, 2023 — L vs Cory Sandhagen Δ-16Aug 19, 2023 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+14Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Sean O'Malley Δ-19Aug 3, 2024 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-14Oct 18, 2025 — L vs Aiemann Zahabi Δ-17Feb 28, 2026 — L vs David Martinez Δ-18 140014501500155016001650 201620182020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":383.2,"elo":1421,"date":"2014-11-15","opp":"Marco Beltran","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":136.5,"y":340.6,"elo":1454,"date":"2015-08-08","opp":"Roman Salazar","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":171.9,"y":382.4,"elo":1422,"date":"2016-02-27","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":3,"x":219.6,"y":338.4,"elo":1456,"date":"2016-11-26","opp":"Guangyou Ning","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":239.1,"y":299.7,"elo":1486,"date":"2017-03-18","opp":"Brad Pickett","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":5,"x":261.1,"y":275.9,"elo":1505,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Brian Kelleher","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":6,"x":278.3,"y":291.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"John Lineker","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":295.4,"y":314.3,"elo":1475,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Douglas Silva de Andrade","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":327.1,"y":294.7,"elo":1490,"date":"2018-08-04","opp":"Wulijiburen","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":345.5,"y":273.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Guido Cannetti","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":10,"x":367.5,"y":251.9,"elo":1523,"date":"2019-03-23","opp":"Frankie Saenz","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":385.8,"y":233.2,"elo":1538,"date":"2019-07-06","opp":"Nohelin Hernandez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":402.9,"y":213.6,"elo":1553,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Andre Ewell","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":13,"x":440.8,"y":233.2,"elo":1538,"date":"2020-05-16","opp":"Song Yadong","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":456.7,"y":208,"elo":1558,"date":"2020-08-15","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":15,"x":478.7,"y":226.3,"elo":1543,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":16,"x":510.5,"y":211,"elo":1555,"date":"2021-06-19","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":17,"x":535,"y":184.3,"elo":1576,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Frankie Edgar","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":18,"x":565.5,"y":163.6,"elo":1592,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Rob Font","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":19,"x":583.9,"y":138.3,"elo":1612,"date":"2022-08-13","opp":"Dominick Cruz","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":20,"x":623,"y":158.9,"elo":1596,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":21,"x":648.6,"y":140.8,"elo":1610,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":22,"x":684.1,"y":165.6,"elo":1591,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Sean O'Malley","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":23,"x":709.8,"y":183.8,"elo":1577,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":24,"x":786.8,"y":205.7,"elo":1560,"date":"2025-10-18","opp":"Aiemann Zahabi","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":25,"x":810,"y":228.8,"elo":1542,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"David Martinez","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 28, 2026 David Martinez L -18
Oct 18, 2025 Aiemann Zahabi L -17
Aug 3, 2024 Deiveson Figueiredo L -14
Mar 9, 2024 Sean O'Malley L -19
Aug 19, 2023 Pedro Munhoz W +14
8 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×5
  • Fight of the Night ×3
$400,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Marlon Vera has earned 8. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
73%
11 / 15
Finish rate
KO
7
47% of wins
SUB
4
27% of wins
DEC
4
27% of wins
KO: 7 (47%) 7 Sub: 4 (27%) 4 Dec: 4 (27%) 4
Finishes by round
11 total
R1
3 27%
R2
4 36%
R3
3 27%
R4
1 9%
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1480 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
54% Head
  • Head 54%
  • Body 22%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 10%
  • Ground 10%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 11 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1625
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
5
of 15 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Dominick Cruz
Elo 1668 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
13.3
+1.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 26 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1565
Notable wins
Dominick Cruz 1668 Frankie Edgar 1652 Rob Font 1632 Sean O'Malley 1614 Pedro Munhoz 1606
Career at a glance
Octagon time
5h 54m
Avg fight time
13:36
Fights per year
2.3
Since last fight
6mo
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
8
vs Compare Marlon Vera with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1677
Umar Nurmagomedov
#2 · Elo 1649
Petr Yan C
#3 · Elo 1648
Farid Basharat
#4 · Elo 1640
Sean O'Malley
#5 · Elo 1632
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Marlon Vera on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.