HonestElo
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Raphael Assuncao

Inactive · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1571 ±36
LCB 1525
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 9
Streak
-1
Δ90d -12 · Δ1y -12
Last fight
Mar 11, 2023
L by Submission

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Mar 19, 2011 — L vs Erik Koch Δ-33Aug 27, 2011 — W vs Johnny Eduardo Δ+32Jul 11, 2012 — W vs Issei Tamura Δ+36Dec 8, 2012 — W vs Mike Easton Δ+33Jun 8, 2013 — W vs Vaughan Lee Δ+26Oct 9, 2013 — W vs TJ Dillashaw Δ+16Feb 22, 2014 — W vs Pedro Munhoz Δ+11Oct 4, 2014 — W vs Bryan Caraway Δ+15Jul 9, 2016 — L vs TJ Dillashaw Δ-16Jan 28, 2017 — W vs Aljamain Sterling Δ+15Jun 3, 2017 — W vs Marlon Moraes Δ+10Nov 11, 2017 — W vs Matthew Lopez Δ+13Jul 7, 2018 — W vs Rob Font Δ+13Feb 2, 2019 — L vs Marlon Moraes Δ-22Aug 17, 2019 — L vs Cory Sandhagen Δ-17Jun 6, 2020 — L vs Cody Garbrandt Δ-19Dec 18, 2021 — L vs Ricky Simon Δ-20Oct 15, 2022 — W vs Victor Henry Δ+14Mar 11, 2023 — L vs Davey Grant Δ-24 14271498156916411712 201320152017201920212023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":206.2,"elo":1467,"date":"2011-03-19","opp":"Erik Koch","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":55.4,"y":182.8,"elo":1498,"date":"2011-08-27","opp":"Johnny Eduardo","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":2,"x":117.5,"y":155.7,"elo":1535,"date":"2012-07-11","opp":"Issei Tamura","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":146.7,"y":130.9,"elo":1568,"date":"2012-12-08","opp":"Mike Easton","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":182.1,"y":111.2,"elo":1595,"date":"2013-06-08","opp":"Vaughan Lee","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":206.1,"y":99.6,"elo":1610,"date":"2013-10-09","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":232.6,"y":91.3,"elo":1621,"date":"2014-02-22","opp":"Pedro Munhoz","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":7,"x":276.2,"y":80.1,"elo":1636,"date":"2014-10-04","opp":"Bryan Caraway","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":401.6,"y":92,"elo":1620,"date":"2016-07-09","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":441.1,"y":80.9,"elo":1635,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":465.7,"y":73.5,"elo":1645,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Marlon Moraes","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":11,"x":497,"y":63.5,"elo":1659,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Matthew Lopez","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":12,"x":543.4,"y":53.8,"elo":1672,"date":"2018-07-07","opp":"Rob Font","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":13,"x":584.3,"y":70.2,"elo":1650,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Marlon Moraes","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":14,"x":622.4,"y":82.7,"elo":1633,"date":"2019-08-17","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":15,"x":679.7,"y":97.2,"elo":1613,"date":"2020-06-06","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":16,"x":788.8,"y":112.2,"elo":1593,"date":"2021-12-18","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":17,"x":847.4,"y":102.2,"elo":1607,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Victor Henry","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":119.9,"elo":1583,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 11, 2023 Davey Grant L -24
Oct 15, 2022 Victor Henry W +14
Dec 18, 2021 Ricky Simon L -20
Jun 6, 2020 Cody Garbrandt L -19
Aug 17, 2019 Cory Sandhagen L -17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.21 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.55 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
66% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.47 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
79% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.12 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
25%
3 / 12
Finish rate
KO
2
17% of wins
SUB
1
8% of wins
DEC
9
75% of wins
KO: 2 (17%) 2 Sub: 1 (8%) 1 Dec: 9 (75%) 9
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
2 67%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1573
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.5
actual +2 vs expected