HonestElo
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Xiao Long

Active #83 bantamweight
Elo rating
1461 ±32
LCB 1419
Rank
#83
top 87% of division
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-2
Δ90d -20 · Δ1y -45
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jun 22, 2024 — L vs Changho Lee Δ-29Nov 23, 2024 — W vs Quang Le Δ+34Aug 23, 2025 — L vs Suyoung You Δ-24Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Cody Garbrandt Δ-20 14211452148315141545 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":149.7,"elo":1471,"date":"2024-06-22","opp":"Changho Lee","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":1,"x":234.6,"y":92.1,"elo":1505,"date":"2024-11-23","opp":"Quang Le","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":2,"x":608,"y":133.4,"elo":1481,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Suyoung You","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":167.9,"elo":1461,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Cody Garbrandt L -20
Aug 23, 2025 Suyoung You L -24
Nov 23, 2024 Quang Le W +34
Jun 22, 2024 Changho Lee L -29

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.70 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.90 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
88% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (100%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
R3
1 100%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1532
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.8
actual -1 vs expected