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John Lineker

Inactive · Orthodox · 160 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1618 ±30
LCB 1579
Rank
—
—
UFC record
12-4-0
KO 6 · Sub 1 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d -27 · Δ1y -27
Last fight
Apr 27, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

16 fights · tap & drag
May 5, 2012 — L vs Louis Gaudinot Δ-36Nov 10, 2012 — W vs Yasuhiro Urushitani Δ+30May 18, 2013 — W vs Azamat Gashimov Δ+31Aug 3, 2013 — W vs Jose Maria Δ+31Oct 26, 2013 — W vs Phil Harris Δ+28Feb 1, 2014 — L vs Ali Bagautinov Δ-17Jul 16, 2014 — W vs Alptekin Ozkilic Δ+15Jan 31, 2015 — W vs Ian McCall Δ+13Sep 5, 2015 — W vs Francisco Rivera Δ+15May 14, 2016 — W vs Rob Font Δ+14Jul 13, 2016 — W vs Michael McDonald Δ+16Oct 1, 2016 — W vs John Dodson Δ+15Dec 30, 2016 — L vs TJ Dillashaw Δ-16Oct 28, 2017 — W vs Marlon Vera Δ+12May 12, 2018 — W vs Brian Kelleher Δ+15Apr 27, 2019 — L vs Cory Sandhagen Δ-19 14241494156416341705 201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":205.8,"elo":1464,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"Louis Gaudinot","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":87.2,"y":183.5,"elo":1493,"date":"2012-11-10","opp":"Yasuhiro Urushitani","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":150.4,"y":160.1,"elo":1524,"date":"2013-05-18","opp":"Azamat Gashimov","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":176.1,"y":136.9,"elo":1555,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Jose Maria","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":4,"x":204.2,"y":115.9,"elo":1583,"date":"2013-10-26","opp":"Phil Harris","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":5,"x":237,"y":128.7,"elo":1566,"date":"2014-02-01","opp":"Ali Bagautinov","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":6,"x":292.2,"y":117.5,"elo":1581,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Alptekin Ozkilic","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":358.7,"y":107.7,"elo":1594,"date":"2015-01-31","opp":"Ian McCall","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":431.3,"y":96.1,"elo":1609,"date":"2015-09-05","opp":"Francisco Rivera","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":515.5,"y":85.7,"elo":1623,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Rob Font","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":535.6,"y":73.3,"elo":1639,"date":"2016-07-13","opp":"Michael McDonald","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":562.4,"y":62.3,"elo":1654,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"John Dodson","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":12,"x":592.4,"y":74.4,"elo":1638,"date":"2016-12-30","opp":"TJ Dillashaw","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":693.4,"y":65.1,"elo":1650,"date":"2017-10-28","opp":"Marlon Vera","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":14,"x":759,"y":54.2,"elo":1665,"date":"2018-05-12","opp":"Brian Kelleher","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":15,"x":876,"y":68.6,"elo":1645,"date":"2019-04-27","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Apr 27, 2019 Cory Sandhagen L -19
May 12, 2018 Brian Kelleher W +15
Oct 28, 2017 Marlon Vera W +12
Dec 30, 2016 TJ Dillashaw L -16
Oct 1, 2016 John Dodson W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.93 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.93 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.51 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
58% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
68% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.59 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
6
50% of wins
SUB
1
8% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 6 (50%) 6 Sub: 1 (8%) 1 Dec: 5 (42%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
2 29%
R3
2 29%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1598
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
9.0
actual +3 vs expected