HonestElo
← bantamweight

Umar Nurmagomedov

Active #3 bantamweight · age 30 · Orthodox · 5'8" 173 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 25
vs David Martinez · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
Elo rating
1649
Global Elo 1683 ±26
Rank
#3
top 3% of division
UFC record
8-1-0
KO 1 · Sub 2 · Dec 5
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +32
Last fight
Jan 24, 2026
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 7m
Avg fight time
14:04
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
1.8
Ground control
49m
Since last fight
5mo

Honest Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
Jan 20, 2021 — W vs Sergey Morozov Δ+33Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Brian Kelleher Δ+37Jun 25, 2022 — W vs Nate Maness Δ+30Jan 14, 2023 — W vs Raoni Barcelos Δ+34Mar 2, 2024 — W vs Bekzat Almakhan Δ+18Aug 3, 2024 — W vs Cory Sandhagen Δ+18Jan 18, 2025 — L vs Merab Dvalishvili Δ-19Oct 25, 2025 — W vs Mario Bautista Δ+16Jan 24, 2026 — W vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ+16 145015001550160016501700 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":346.4,"elo":1500,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Sergey Morozov","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":250.9,"y":299.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Brian Kelleher","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":295,"y":260.2,"elo":1567,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"Nate Maness","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":374.9,"y":217.5,"elo":1600,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Raoni Barcelos","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":537.3,"y":194.2,"elo":1619,"date":"2024-03-02","opp":"Bekzat Almakhan","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":5,"x":597.9,"y":171.4,"elo":1636,"date":"2024-08-03","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":664,"y":196,"elo":1617,"date":"2025-01-18","opp":"Merab Dvalishvili","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":774.2,"y":176,"elo":1633,"date":"2025-10-25","opp":"Mario Bautista","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":810,"y":155.2,"elo":1649,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jan 24, 2026 Deiveson Figueiredo W +16
Oct 25, 2025 Mario Bautista W +16
Jan 18, 2025 Merab Dvalishvili L -19
Aug 3, 2024 Cory Sandhagen W +18
Mar 2, 2024 Bekzat Almakhan W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
2
25% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 2 (25%) 2 Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
2 67%
R2
1 33%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 489 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
68% Head
  • Head 68%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
67% Distance
  • Distance 67%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 27%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 1 loss went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1638
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Cory Sandhagen
Elo 1691 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.5
+3.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 9 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1673
Notable wins
Cory Sandhagen 1691 Deiveson Figueiredo 1673 Mario Bautista 1641 Raoni Barcelos 1604

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Song Yadong
#6 · Elo 1626
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Umar Nurmagomedov on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.