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Jafel Filho

Active #21 flyweight
Elo rating
1549 ±39
LCB 1499
Rank
#21
top 38% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 0
Streak
+1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +6
Last fight
Oct 11, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Mar 18, 2023 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-25Jul 22, 2023 — W vs Daniel Barez Δ+36Mar 16, 2024 — W vs Ode Osbourne Δ+32May 31, 2025 — L vs Allan Nascimento Δ-29Oct 11, 2025 — W vs Clayton Carpenter Δ+35 14351474151215501589 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":180.9,"elo":1475,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":138.4,"y":132.1,"elo":1511,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Daniel Barez","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":2,"x":354.6,"y":87.3,"elo":1543,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":755.2,"y":127.4,"elo":1514,"date":"2025-05-31","opp":"Allan Nascimento","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":79.1,"elo":1549,"date":"2025-10-11","opp":"Clayton Carpenter","result":"W","delta":35}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 11, 2025 Clayton Carpenter W +35
May 31, 2025 Allan Nascimento L -29
Mar 16, 2024 Ode Osbourne W +32
Jul 22, 2023 Daniel Barez W +36
Mar 18, 2023 Muhammad Mokaev L -25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.56 avg 3.45
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.18 avg 2.93
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
52% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.33 avg 1.52
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
54% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
64% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.33 avg 0.68
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (100%) 3 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1533
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.3
actual +1 vs expected