HonestElo
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Austin Arnett

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1469 ±38
LCB 1420
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d +22 · Δ1y +22
Last fight
Feb 9, 2019
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jan 27, 2018 — L vs Cory Sandhagen Δ-33Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Hakeem Dawodu Δ-29Nov 17, 2018 — W vs Humberto Bandenay Δ+34Feb 9, 2019 — L vs Shane Young Δ-26 13981427145514841513 2019 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":108.7,"elo":1467,"date":"2018-01-27","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":434.2,"y":161.7,"elo":1438,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Hakeem Dawodu","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":2,"x":686.7,"y":98.3,"elo":1473,"date":"2018-11-17","opp":"Humberto Bandenay","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":146.2,"elo":1447,"date":"2019-02-09","opp":"Shane Young","result":"L","delta":-26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 9, 2019 Shane Young L -26
Nov 17, 2018 Humberto Bandenay W +34
Jul 28, 2018 Hakeem Dawodu L -29
Jan 27, 2018 Cory Sandhagen L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.75 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.55 avg 3.15
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.55 avg 1.44
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
18% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
57% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.45
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1496
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.9
actual -1 vs expected