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Marlon Moraes "Magic"

Inactive · age 38 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 135 lb 61 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 4 of last 5 fights
  • 60% of wins by KO or submission
Elo rating
1509
Global Elo 1560 ±39
Rank
—
—
UFC record
5-6-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 2
Streak
-4
Δ90d -8 · Δ1y -8
Last fight
Mar 12, 2022
Loss by KO · R1
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 26m
Avg fight time
7:50
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
7
Fights per year
2.3
Since last fight
4y 3mo

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Jun 3, 2017 — L vs Raphael Assuncao Δ-18Nov 11, 2017 — W vs John Dodson Δ+39Dec 9, 2017 — W vs Aljamain Sterling Δ+41Jun 1, 2018 — W vs Jimmie Rivera Δ+41Feb 2, 2019 — W vs Raphael Assuncao Δ+40Jun 8, 2019 — L vs Henry Cejudo Δ-22Dec 14, 2019 — W vs Jose Aldo Δ+19Oct 10, 2020 — L vs Cory Sandhagen Δ-18Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Rob Font Δ-19Sep 25, 2021 — L vs Merab Dvalishvili Δ-19Mar 12, 2022 — L vs Song Yadong Δ-15 140014501500155016001650 20182019202020212022 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":380.7,"elo":1423,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Raphael Assuncao","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":1,"x":156.5,"y":331,"elo":1462,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"John Dodson","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":2,"x":168.1,"y":278,"elo":1503,"date":"2017-12-09","opp":"Aljamain Sterling","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":3,"x":239.9,"y":225.7,"elo":1544,"date":"2018-06-01","opp":"Jimmie Rivera","result":"W","delta":41},{"i":4,"x":341.6,"y":175,"elo":1584,"date":"2019-02-02","opp":"Raphael Assuncao","result":"W","delta":40},{"i":5,"x":393.6,"y":203,"elo":1562,"date":"2019-06-08","opp":"Henry Cejudo","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":6,"x":471.7,"y":178.7,"elo":1581,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Jose Aldo","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":596,"y":202.1,"elo":1562,"date":"2020-10-10","opp":"Cory Sandhagen","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":8,"x":624.9,"y":226.3,"elo":1544,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Rob Font","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":9,"x":740.6,"y":250.9,"elo":1524,"date":"2021-09-25","opp":"Merab Dvalishvili","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":270.5,"elo":1509,"date":"2022-03-12","opp":"Song Yadong","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 12, 2022 Song Yadong L -15
Sep 25, 2021 Merab Dvalishvili L -19
Dec 19, 2020 Rob Font L -19
Oct 10, 2020 Cory Sandhagen L -18
Dec 14, 2019 Jose Aldo W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
60%
3 / 5
Finish rate
KO
2
40% of wins
SUB
1
20% of wins
DEC
2
40% of wins
KO: 2 (40%) 2 Sub: 1 (20%) 1 Dec: 2 (40%) 2
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 290 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 16%
  • Leg 19%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
92% Distance
  • Distance 92%
  • Clinch 1%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
83%
of losses by finish
5 of 6 · usually R1
5 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1634
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
5
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Jose Aldo
Elo 1686 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.6
+0.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1635
1643
Notable wins
Jose Aldo 1686 Raphael Assuncao 1672 Jimmie Rivera 1646 Aljamain Sterling 1610 John Dodson 1608

Top bantamweight

See full rankings →
Merab Dvalishvili
#1 · Elo 1679
Petr Yan C
#2 · Elo 1661
Umar Nurmagomedov
#3 · Elo 1649
Sean O'Malley
#4 · Elo 1632
Farid Basharat
#5 · Elo 1630
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Marlon Moraes on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.