HonestElo
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Adrian Yanez

Active #25 bantamweight · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1594 ±31
LCB 1555
Rank
#25
top 26% of division
UFC record
6-3-1
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
0
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Mar 28, 2026
D by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Oct 31, 2020 — W vs Victor Rodriguez Δ+33Mar 20, 2021 — W vs Gustavo Lopez Δ+31Jul 24, 2021 — W vs Randy Costa Δ+30Nov 20, 2021 — W vs Davey Grant Δ+21Jun 18, 2022 — W vs Tony Kelley Δ+26Apr 8, 2023 — L vs Rob Font Δ-20Oct 14, 2023 — L vs Jonathan Martinez Δ-19May 18, 2024 — W vs Vinicius Salvador Δ+11Dec 14, 2024 — L vs Daniel Marcos Δ-17Mar 28, 2026 — D vs Ricky Simon Δ0 14931540158616331680 202120222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":190.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2020-10-31","opp":"Victor Rodriguez","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":84.4,"y":155.5,"elo":1564,"date":"2021-03-20","opp":"Gustavo Lopez","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":138.8,"y":121.8,"elo":1594,"date":"2021-07-24","opp":"Randy Costa","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":190.2,"y":98.3,"elo":1614,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Davey Grant","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":4,"x":280.8,"y":69.4,"elo":1640,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Tony Kelley","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":407.7,"y":91.7,"elo":1620,"date":"2023-04-08","opp":"Rob Font","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":489.3,"y":113,"elo":1601,"date":"2023-10-14","opp":"Jonathan Martinez","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":582.9,"y":100.9,"elo":1612,"date":"2024-05-18","opp":"Vinicius Salvador","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":673.6,"y":120.4,"elo":1595,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Daniel Marcos","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":121,"elo":1594,"date":"2026-03-28","opp":"Ricky Simon","result":"D","delta":0}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 28, 2026 Ricky Simon D 0
Dec 14, 2024 Daniel Marcos L -17
May 18, 2024 Vinicius Salvador W +11
Oct 14, 2023 Jonathan Martinez L -19
Apr 8, 2023 Rob Font L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.88 avg 3.89
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
41% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.32 avg 2.99
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.70
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 38%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
73% avg 68%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.38
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
83%
5 / 6
Finish rate
KO
5
83% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
17% of wins
KO: 5 (83%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (17%) 1
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1569
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.7
actual 0 vs expected