HonestElo
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Julian Marquez

Active #72 middleweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1463 ±37
LCB 1415
Rank
#72
top 89% of division
UFC record
3-5-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Mar 1, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Dec 16, 2017 — W vs Darren Stewart Δ+28Jul 6, 2018 — L vs Alessio Di Chirico Δ-31Feb 13, 2021 — W vs Maki Pitolo Δ+28Apr 10, 2021 — W vs Sam Alvey Δ+34Jun 18, 2022 — L vs Gregory Rodrigues Δ-36Mar 4, 2023 — L vs Marc-Andre Barriault Δ-20Jun 8, 2024 — L vs Zach Reese Δ-20Mar 1, 2025 — L vs Cody Brundage Δ-19 14221466151015541598 2019202120232025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":109,"elo":1528,"date":"2017-12-16","opp":"Darren Stewart","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":89.4,"y":146.4,"elo":1497,"date":"2018-07-06","opp":"Alessio Di Chirico","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":2,"x":397.9,"y":112.7,"elo":1525,"date":"2021-02-13","opp":"Maki Pitolo","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":416,"y":72.2,"elo":1558,"date":"2021-04-10","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":556.5,"y":115.4,"elo":1522,"date":"2022-06-18","opp":"Gregory Rodrigues","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":5,"x":640.3,"y":139.9,"elo":1502,"date":"2023-03-04","opp":"Marc-Andre Barriault","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":789.9,"y":164.6,"elo":1482,"date":"2024-06-08","opp":"Zach Reese","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":187.8,"elo":1462,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Cody Brundage","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 1, 2025 Cody Brundage L -19
Jun 8, 2024 Zach Reese L -20
Mar 4, 2023 Marc-Andre Barriault L -20
Jun 18, 2022 Gregory Rodrigues L -36
Apr 10, 2021 Sam Alvey W +34

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.19 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.69 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
46% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
2.20 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
100% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (100%) 3 Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
R2
2 67%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1494
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.4
actual -1 vs expected