HonestElo
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Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1455 ±39
LCB 1404
Rank
—
—
UFC record
1-3-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d +28 · Δ1y +28
Last fight
Jul 28, 2018
L by KO

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Nov 21, 2015 — W vs Vernon Ramos Ho Δ+33Jul 7, 2016 — L vs Vicente Luque Δ-36Aug 5, 2017 — L vs Jordan Rinaldi Δ-35Jul 28, 2018 — L vs Devin Powell Δ-35 13871434148015271573 201620172018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":69.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2015-11-21","opp":"Vernon Ramos Ho","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":223.1,"y":110.6,"elo":1497,"date":"2016-07-07","opp":"Vicente Luque","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":565.6,"y":150.6,"elo":1462,"date":"2017-08-05","opp":"Jordan Rinaldi","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":190.4,"elo":1427,"date":"2018-07-28","opp":"Devin Powell","result":"L","delta":-35}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 28, 2018 Devin Powell L -35
Aug 5, 2017 Jordan Rinaldi L -35
Jul 7, 2016 Vicente Luque L -36
Nov 21, 2015 Vernon Ramos Ho W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.00 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
38% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.80 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.60 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
1 / 1
Finish rate
KO
1
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 1 (100%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1481
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.1
actual -1 vs expected