HonestElo
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Marco Tulio

Active #50 middleweight
Elo rating
1528 ±36
LCB 1481
Rank
#50
top 61% of division
UFC record
2-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -1
Last fight
Nov 8, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Ihor Potieria Δ+30Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Tresean Gore Δ+31Nov 8, 2025 — L vs Christian Leroy Duncan Δ-33 14881516154515731601 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":158.4,"elo":1530,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Ihor Potieria","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":281.6,"y":99.3,"elo":1561,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Tresean Gore","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":160.7,"elo":1528,"date":"2025-11-08","opp":"Christian Leroy Duncan","result":"L","delta":-33}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 8, 2025 Christian Leroy Duncan L -33
Apr 12, 2025 Tresean Gore W +31
Jan 11, 2025 Ihor Potieria W +30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
7.32 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
64% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.84 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.20 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
40% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
0% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
2 / 2
Finish rate
KO
2
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 2 (100%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1513
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.6
actual 0 vs expected