HonestElo
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Antonio Trocoli

Active #80 middleweight · Orthodox · 196 cm · reach 208 cm
Elo rating
1394 ±20
LCB 1368
Rank
#80
top 99% of division
UFC record
0-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-4
Δ90d -22 · Δ1y -44
Last fight
Mar 21, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Jun 22, 2024 — L vs Shara Magomedov Δ-30Nov 9, 2024 — L vs Tresean Gore Δ-32Dec 6, 2025 — L vs Mansur Abdul-Malik Δ-22Mar 21, 2026 — L vs Mantas Kondratavicius Δ-22 13541393143214711510 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":78.3,"elo":1470,"date":"2024-06-22","opp":"Shara Magomedov","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":211.3,"y":122.1,"elo":1438,"date":"2024-11-09","opp":"Tresean Gore","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":2,"x":735.6,"y":151.8,"elo":1416,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Mansur Abdul-Malik","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":181.7,"elo":1394,"date":"2026-03-21","opp":"Mantas Kondratavicius","result":"L","delta":-22}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 21, 2026 Mantas Kondratavicius L -22
Dec 6, 2025 Mansur Abdul-Malik L -22
Nov 9, 2024 Tresean Gore L -32
Jun 22, 2024 Shara Magomedov L -30

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
0.95 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.05 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
27% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.38 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
5% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
33% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
SUB
0
DEC
0
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1519
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.6
actual -2 vs expected