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Josh Fremd

Active #57 middleweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 6'4" 193 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 76" 193 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1424
Global Elo 1473 ±38
Rank
#57
top 80% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +11 · Δ1y +11
Last fight
Jul 13, 2024
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 9m
Avg fight time
11:26
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
2.7
Ground control
16m
Since last fight
1y 11mo

Honest Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Anthony Hernandez Δ-28Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Tresean Gore Δ-36Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Sedriques Dumas Δ+39Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Jamie Pickett Δ+25Sep 16, 2023 — L vs Roman Kopylov Δ-28Jul 13, 2024 — L vs Andre Petroski Δ-11 13601380140014201440146014801500 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":240.2,"elo":1434,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":266.9,"y":322,"elo":1399,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Tresean Gore","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":382.9,"y":232.6,"elo":1438,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Sedriques Dumas","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":517.1,"y":174.6,"elo":1463,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Jamie Pickett","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":547.6,"y":239.3,"elo":1435,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Roman Kopylov","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":810,"y":263.5,"elo":1424,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Andre Petroski","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 13, 2024 Andre Petroski L -11
Sep 16, 2023 Roman Kopylov L -28
Aug 12, 2023 Jamie Pickett W +25
Mar 11, 2023 Sedriques Dumas W +39
Oct 29, 2022 Tresean Gore L -36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 173 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
49% Head
  • Head 49%
  • Body 31%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
78% Distance
  • Distance 78%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 6%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
2 of 4 · usually R2
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1505
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Sedriques Dumas
Elo 1500 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.8
−0.8 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 6 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1513
1595

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Josh Fremd on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.