HonestElo
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Josh Fremd

Active #67 middleweight
Elo rating
1471 ±37
LCB 1423
Rank
#67
top 83% of division
UFC record
2-4-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-2
Δ90d +9 · Δ1y +9
Last fight
Jul 13, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Apr 9, 2022 — L vs Anthony Hernandez Δ-28Oct 29, 2022 — L vs Tresean Gore Δ-36Mar 11, 2023 — W vs Sedriques Dumas Δ+39Aug 12, 2023 — W vs Jamie Pickett Δ+25Sep 16, 2023 — L vs Roman Kopylov Δ-28Jul 13, 2024 — L vs Andre Petroski Δ-11 13961433146915051541 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":124.8,"elo":1472,"date":"2022-04-09","opp":"Anthony Hernandez","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":1,"x":233.4,"y":177.3,"elo":1436,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Tresean Gore","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":2,"x":370.6,"y":120,"elo":1476,"date":"2023-03-11","opp":"Sedriques Dumas","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":3,"x":529.4,"y":82.7,"elo":1501,"date":"2023-08-12","opp":"Jamie Pickett","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":4,"x":565.5,"y":124.2,"elo":1473,"date":"2023-09-16","opp":"Roman Kopylov","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":139.8,"elo":1462,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Andre Petroski","result":"L","delta":-11}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 13, 2024 Andre Petroski L -11
Sep 16, 2023 Roman Kopylov L -28
Aug 12, 2023 Jamie Pickett W +25
Mar 11, 2023 Sedriques Dumas W +39
Oct 29, 2022 Tresean Gore L -36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.31 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
44% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.04 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.60 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
25% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
30% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.00 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
1 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
1
50% of wins
DEC
1
50% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 1 (50%) 1 Dec: 1 (50%) 1
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1505
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual -1 vs expected