HonestElo
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Chris Weidman

Active #16 middleweight · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 198 cm
Elo rating
1615 ±39
LCB 1565
Rank
#16
top 18% of division
UFC record
12-8-0
KO 4 · Sub 3 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d -3 · Δ1y -3
Last fight
Dec 7, 2024
L by KO

Elo history

20 fights · tap & drag
Mar 3, 2011 — W vs Alessio Sakara Δ+31Jun 11, 2011 — W vs Jesse Bongfeldt Δ+30Nov 19, 2011 — W vs Tom Lawlor Δ+29Jan 28, 2012 — W vs Demian Maia Δ+33Jul 11, 2012 — W vs Mark Munoz Δ+33Jul 6, 2013 — W vs Anderson Silva Δ+34Dec 28, 2013 — W vs Anderson Silva Δ+30Jul 5, 2014 — W vs Lyoto Machida Δ+18May 23, 2015 — W vs Vitor Belfort Δ+18Dec 12, 2015 — L vs Luke Rockhold Δ-30Nov 12, 2016 — L vs Yoel Romero Δ-20Apr 8, 2017 — L vs Gegard Mousasi Δ-22Jul 22, 2017 — W vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ+18Nov 3, 2018 — L vs Jacare Souza Δ-20Oct 18, 2019 — L vs Dominick Reyes Δ-20Aug 8, 2020 — W vs Omari Akhmedov Δ+13Apr 24, 2021 — L vs Uriah Hall Δ-23Aug 19, 2023 — L vs Brad Tavares Δ-19Mar 30, 2024 — W vs Bruno Silva Δ+12Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Eryk Anders Δ-24 14911567164317191795 2014201720202023 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":208.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2011-03-03","opp":"Alessio Sakara","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":1,"x":40.9,"y":187.2,"elo":1561,"date":"2011-06-11","opp":"Jesse Bongfeldt","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":68.2,"y":167.1,"elo":1590,"date":"2011-11-19","opp":"Tom Lawlor","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":80.1,"y":144.2,"elo":1623,"date":"2012-01-28","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":108,"y":121.4,"elo":1656,"date":"2012-07-11","opp":"Mark Munoz","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":5,"x":169.1,"y":97.9,"elo":1689,"date":"2013-07-06","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":6,"x":198.7,"y":77.1,"elo":1719,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":7,"x":230.7,"y":64.4,"elo":1737,"date":"2014-07-05","opp":"Lyoto Machida","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":8,"x":285.3,"y":51.9,"elo":1755,"date":"2015-05-23","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":319.7,"y":73,"elo":1725,"date":"2015-12-12","opp":"Luke Rockhold","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":10,"x":376.6,"y":86.8,"elo":1705,"date":"2016-11-12","opp":"Yoel Romero","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":11,"x":401.5,"y":102.4,"elo":1683,"date":"2017-04-08","opp":"Gegard Mousasi","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":12,"x":419.3,"y":90.1,"elo":1700,"date":"2017-07-22","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":13,"x":498.8,"y":104.4,"elo":1680,"date":"2018-11-03","opp":"Jacare Souza","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":14,"x":557.9,"y":118.5,"elo":1660,"date":"2019-10-18","opp":"Dominick Reyes","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":15,"x":607.9,"y":109.4,"elo":1673,"date":"2020-08-08","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":16,"x":651.8,"y":125.4,"elo":1650,"date":"2021-04-24","opp":"Uriah Hall","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":17,"x":795.3,"y":138.5,"elo":1631,"date":"2023-08-19","opp":"Brad Tavares","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":18,"x":833.3,"y":130.1,"elo":1643,"date":"2024-03-30","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":19,"x":876,"y":147.2,"elo":1619,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Eryk Anders","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 7, 2024 Eryk Anders L -24
Mar 30, 2024 Bruno Silva W +12
Aug 19, 2023 Brad Tavares L -19
Apr 24, 2021 Uriah Hall L -23
Aug 8, 2020 Omari Akhmedov W +13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.61 avg 3.85
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.83 avg 3.08
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.75 avg 1.38
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
42% avg 46%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.69 avg 0.47
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
58%
7 / 12
Finish rate
KO
4
33% of wins
SUB
3
25% of wins
DEC
5
42% of wins
KO: 4 (33%) 4 Sub: 3 (25%) 3 Dec: 5 (42%) 5
Finishes by round
7 total
R1
3 43%
R2
3 43%
R3
1 14%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1567
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.8
actual +1 vs expected