HonestElo
← middleweight

Nate Marquardt

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1539 ±29
LCB 1501
Rank
—
—
UFC record
13-12-0
KO 6 · Sub 3 · Dec 4
Streak
-3
Δ90d +2 · Δ1y +2
Last fight
Nov 11, 2017
L by Decision

Elo history

25 fights · tap & drag
Aug 6, 2005 — W vs Ivan Salaverry Δ+35Mar 4, 2006 — W vs Joe Doerksen Δ+24Oct 10, 2006 — W vs Crafton Wallace Δ+25Jan 25, 2007 — W vs Dean Lister Δ+27Jul 7, 2007 — L vs Anderson Silva Δ-39Feb 2, 2008 — W vs Jeremy Horn Δ+18Jun 7, 2008 — L vs Thales Leites Δ-17Sep 6, 2008 — W vs Martin Kampmann Δ+21Feb 21, 2009 — W vs Wilson Gouveia Δ+19Aug 29, 2009 — W vs Demian Maia Δ+20Feb 6, 2010 — L vs Chael Sonnen Δ-21Sep 15, 2010 — W vs Rousimar Palhares Δ+18Nov 13, 2010 — L vs Yushin Okami Δ-15Mar 19, 2011 — W vs Dan Miller Δ+13Mar 16, 2013 — L vs Jake Ellenberger Δ-19Oct 19, 2013 — L vs Hector Lombard Δ-24Jun 28, 2014 — W vs James Te Huna Δ+17Jan 3, 2015 — L vs Brad Tavares Δ-17Jun 13, 2015 — L vs Kelvin Gastelum Δ-16Dec 19, 2015 — W vs CB Dollaway Δ+17May 14, 2016 — L vs Thiago Santos Δ-20Oct 1, 2016 — W vs Tamdan McCrory Δ+16Jan 28, 2017 — L vs Sam Alvey Δ-16Jun 3, 2017 — L vs Vitor Belfort Δ-14Nov 11, 2017 — L vs Cezar Ferreira Δ-15 14951539158416281672 200720092011201320152017 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":188.1,"elo":1535,"date":"2005-08-06","opp":"Ivan Salaverry","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":63.9,"y":159.1,"elo":1559,"date":"2006-03-04","opp":"Joe Doerksen","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":105.8,"y":129.8,"elo":1584,"date":"2006-10-10","opp":"Crafton Wallace","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":126.1,"y":97.4,"elo":1611,"date":"2007-01-25","opp":"Dean Lister","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":157.1,"y":144.6,"elo":1571,"date":"2007-07-07","opp":"Anderson Silva","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":5,"x":197.1,"y":123.4,"elo":1589,"date":"2008-02-02","opp":"Jeremy Horn","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":221,"y":143.9,"elo":1572,"date":"2008-06-07","opp":"Thales Leites","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":238.3,"y":119.2,"elo":1593,"date":"2008-09-06","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":270.3,"y":96.2,"elo":1612,"date":"2009-02-21","opp":"Wilson Gouveia","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":306.2,"y":71.9,"elo":1632,"date":"2009-08-29","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":10,"x":336.8,"y":97.2,"elo":1611,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Chael Sonnen","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":11,"x":378.9,"y":75.9,"elo":1629,"date":"2010-09-15","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":390.1,"y":93.9,"elo":1614,"date":"2010-11-13","opp":"Yushin Okami","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":13,"x":414.1,"y":78.5,"elo":1627,"date":"2011-03-19","opp":"Dan Miller","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":14,"x":552.5,"y":100.9,"elo":1608,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":15,"x":593.8,"y":129.3,"elo":1584,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Hector Lombard","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":16,"x":641.7,"y":108.8,"elo":1601,"date":"2014-06-28","opp":"James Te Huna","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":17,"x":677.6,"y":129.3,"elo":1584,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Brad Tavares","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":18,"x":708.3,"y":148,"elo":1569,"date":"2015-06-13","opp":"Kelvin Gastelum","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":19,"x":744.2,"y":127.5,"elo":1586,"date":"2015-12-19","opp":"CB Dollaway","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":20,"x":772.2,"y":151.1,"elo":1566,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Thiago Santos","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":21,"x":798.8,"y":131.9,"elo":1582,"date":"2016-10-01","opp":"Tamdan McCrory","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":22,"x":821.4,"y":151.2,"elo":1566,"date":"2017-01-28","opp":"Sam Alvey","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":23,"x":845.4,"y":167.6,"elo":1552,"date":"2017-06-03","opp":"Vitor Belfort","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":24,"x":876,"y":185.8,"elo":1537,"date":"2017-11-11","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 11, 2017 Cezar Ferreira L -15
Jun 3, 2017 Vitor Belfort L -14
Jan 28, 2017 Sam Alvey L -16
Oct 1, 2016 Tamdan McCrory W +16
May 14, 2016 Thiago Santos L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.35 avg 3.81
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.84 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.83 avg 1.42
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
59% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
71% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.78 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
69%
9 / 13
Finish rate
KO
6
46% of wins
SUB
3
23% of wins
DEC
4
31% of wins
KO: 6 (46%) 6 Sub: 3 (23%) 3 Dec: 4 (31%) 4
Finishes by round
9 total
R1
4 44%
R2
4 44%
R3
1 11%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1569
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
13.0
actual 0 vs expected