HonestElo
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Cesar Almeida

Active #51 middleweight
Elo rating
1531 ±40
LCB 1480
Rank
#51
top 63% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -34
Last fight
Dec 13, 2025
L by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Dylan Budka Δ+33Jun 1, 2024 — L vs Roman Kopylov Δ-27Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Ihor Potieria Δ+26Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Δ+33Dec 13, 2025 — L vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk Δ-34 14661501153615701605 2025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":133.6,"elo":1533,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Dylan Budka","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":101.5,"y":175.3,"elo":1506,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Roman Kopylov","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":275.7,"y":135.3,"elo":1532,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Ihor Potieria","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":411.3,"y":84.7,"elo":1565,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Abdul Razak Alhassan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":136.5,"elo":1531,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Cezary Oleksiejczuk","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 13, 2025 Cezary Oleksiejczuk L -34
Jan 11, 2025 Abdul Razak Alhassan W +33
Oct 5, 2024 Ihor Potieria W +26
Jun 1, 2024 Roman Kopylov L -27
Apr 6, 2024 Dylan Budka W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.93 avg 3.84
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
58% avg 52%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.95 avg 3.07
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
46% avg 53%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.41
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 45%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
47% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.25 avg 0.48
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
2
67% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 2 (67%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1512
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.6
actual 0 vs expected