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Cesar Almeida "Cesinha"

Active #41 middleweight · age 38 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jul 11
vs Damian Pinas · UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
  • 67% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
Elo rating
1478
Global Elo 1531 ±41
Rank
#41
top 57% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -34
Last fight
Dec 13, 2025
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
56m
Avg fight time
11:18
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
3.0
Since last fight
6mo

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Apr 6, 2024 — W vs Dylan Budka Δ+33Jun 1, 2024 — L vs Roman Kopylov Δ-27Oct 5, 2024 — W vs Ihor Potieria Δ+26Jan 11, 2025 — W vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Δ+33Dec 13, 2025 — L vs Cezary Oleksiejczuk Δ-34 1420144014601480150015201540 2025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":251.6,"elo":1479,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Dylan Budka","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":155.5,"y":324.7,"elo":1452,"date":"2024-06-01","opp":"Roman Kopylov","result":"L","delta":-27},{"i":2,"x":302.7,"y":254.5,"elo":1478,"date":"2024-10-05","opp":"Ihor Potieria","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":417.3,"y":165.7,"elo":1512,"date":"2025-01-11","opp":"Abdul Razak Alhassan","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":256.7,"elo":1478,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Cezary Oleksiejczuk","result":"L","delta":-34}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 13, 2025 Cezary Oleksiejczuk L -34
Jan 11, 2025 Abdul Razak Alhassan W +33
Oct 5, 2024 Ihor Potieria W +26
Jun 1, 2024 Roman Kopylov L -27
Apr 6, 2024 Dylan Budka W +33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
2
67% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 2 (67%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 176 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
43% Head
  • Head 43%
  • Body 35%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
72% Distance
  • Distance 72%
  • Clinch 17%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 2 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1512
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Abdul Razak Alhassan
Elo 1534 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.6
+0.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1500

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Cesar Almeida on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.