HonestElo
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Justin Salas

Inactive · Southpaw · 173 cm · reach 178 cm
Elo rating
1499 ±35
LCB 1454
Rank
—
—
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +14 · Δ1y +14
Last fight
Mar 5, 2016
L by KO

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Feb 15, 2012 — W vs Anton Kuivanen Δ+29Jun 8, 2012 — L vs Tim Means Δ-33Jul 27, 2013 — W vs Aaron Riley Δ+27Nov 9, 2013 — L vs Thiago Tavares Δ-32May 10, 2014 — W vs Ben Wall Δ+31Jul 16, 2014 — L vs Joe Proctor Δ-18Mar 5, 2016 — L vs Jason Saggo Δ-18 14451476150715381569 2013201420152016 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":92.7,"elo":1529,"date":"2012-02-15","opp":"Anton Kuivanen","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":89.6,"y":149.6,"elo":1496,"date":"2012-06-08","opp":"Tim Means","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":2,"x":328,"y":102.7,"elo":1523,"date":"2013-07-27","opp":"Aaron Riley","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":388.4,"y":157.5,"elo":1491,"date":"2013-11-09","opp":"Thiago Tavares","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":493.2,"y":104.6,"elo":1522,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Ben Wall","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":531.7,"y":135.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2014-07-16","opp":"Joe Proctor","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":167.3,"elo":1485,"date":"2016-03-05","opp":"Jason Saggo","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 5, 2016 Jason Saggo L -18
Jul 16, 2014 Joe Proctor L -18
May 10, 2014 Ben Wall W +31
Nov 9, 2013 Thiago Tavares L -32
Jul 27, 2013 Aaron Riley W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.82 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.43 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
69% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.00 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
21% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
0% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1502
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.5
actual -1 vs expected