HonestElo
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John Howard

Inactive · Orthodox · 170 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1526 ±37
LCB 1478
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-7-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Dec 10, 2015
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jan 31, 2009 — W vs Chris Wilson Δ+30Aug 8, 2009 — W vs Tamdan McCrory Δ+29Dec 5, 2009 — W vs Dennis Hallman Δ+23Mar 21, 2010 — W vs Daniel Roberts Δ+26Aug 1, 2010 — L vs Jake Ellenberger Δ-37Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Thiago Alves Δ-14Jun 26, 2011 — L vs Matt Brown Δ-17Aug 17, 2013 — W vs Uriah Hall Δ+13Dec 28, 2013 — W vs Siyar Bahadurzada Δ+15Apr 11, 2014 — L vs Ryan LaFlare Δ-15Sep 27, 2014 — L vs Brian Ebersole Δ-15Jan 18, 2015 — L vs Lorenz Larkin Δ-23Jul 11, 2015 — W vs Cathal Pendred Δ+20Dec 10, 2015 — L vs Tim Means Δ-19 14721516156016031647 201020112012201320142015 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":165.8,"elo":1530,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Chris Wilson","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":1,"x":88.3,"y":130.7,"elo":1559,"date":"2009-08-08","opp":"Tamdan McCrory","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":128.8,"y":103.4,"elo":1581,"date":"2009-12-05","opp":"Dennis Hallman","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":3,"x":164.9,"y":72.5,"elo":1607,"date":"2010-03-21","opp":"Daniel Roberts","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":210.1,"y":117.3,"elo":1570,"date":"2010-08-01","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":255,"y":134.5,"elo":1556,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":322.1,"y":155.5,"elo":1539,"date":"2011-06-26","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":7,"x":588.5,"y":140.1,"elo":1551,"date":"2013-08-17","opp":"Uriah Hall","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":8,"x":633.7,"y":122.6,"elo":1566,"date":"2013-12-28","opp":"Siyar Bahadurzada","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":669.1,"y":140.8,"elo":1551,"date":"2014-04-11","opp":"Ryan LaFlare","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":10,"x":726.6,"y":159.5,"elo":1535,"date":"2014-09-27","opp":"Brian Ebersole","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":11,"x":765.1,"y":187.5,"elo":1512,"date":"2015-01-18","opp":"Lorenz Larkin","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":12,"x":824.3,"y":162.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2015-07-11","opp":"Cathal Pendred","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":185.3,"elo":1514,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Tim Means","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 10, 2015 Tim Means L -19
Jul 11, 2015 Cathal Pendred W +20
Jan 18, 2015 Lorenz Larkin L -23
Sep 27, 2014 Brian Ebersole L -15
Apr 11, 2014 Ryan LaFlare L -15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
1.99 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.86 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
51% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.51 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
49% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
54% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.41 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
2 / 7
Finish rate
KO
2
29% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
71% of wins
KO: 2 (29%) 2 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (71%) 5
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.5
actual 0 vs expected