HonestElo
← welterweight

Sergio Moraes

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1569 ±36
LCB 1522
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-5-1
KO 1 · Sub 3 · Dec 4
Streak
-3
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y -2
Last fight
Nov 16, 2019
L by KO

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jun 23, 2012 — L vs Cezar Ferreira Δ-36Oct 13, 2012 — W vs Renee Forte Δ+37Aug 3, 2013 — W vs Neil Magny Δ+36Apr 11, 2015 — W vs Mickael Lebout Δ+26Dec 10, 2015 — W vs Omari Akhmedov Δ+34May 14, 2016 — D vs Luan Chagas Δ-4Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Zak Ottow Δ+13Mar 11, 2017 — W vs Davi Ramos Δ+11Sep 16, 2017 — L vs Kamaru Usman Δ-16Feb 3, 2018 — W vs Tim Means Δ+14Sep 22, 2018 — W vs Ben Saunders Δ+16Mar 9, 2019 — L vs Anthony Rocco Martin Δ-19May 11, 2019 — L vs Warlley Alves Δ-20Nov 16, 2019 — L vs James Krause Δ-20 14241485154716081669 201420162018 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":201.4,"elo":1464,"date":"2012-06-23","opp":"Cezar Ferreira","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":59.3,"y":169.9,"elo":1501,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Renee Forte","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":152,"y":139,"elo":1536,"date":"2013-08-03","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":346.3,"y":116.7,"elo":1562,"date":"2015-04-11","opp":"Mickael Lebout","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":4,"x":422.9,"y":87.5,"elo":1596,"date":"2015-12-10","opp":"Omari Akhmedov","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":5,"x":472.1,"y":91.2,"elo":1592,"date":"2016-05-14","opp":"Luan Chagas","result":"D","delta":-4},{"i":6,"x":531.7,"y":79.9,"elo":1605,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Zak Ottow","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":7,"x":567,"y":70.1,"elo":1616,"date":"2017-03-11","opp":"Davi Ramos","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":626.6,"y":84.3,"elo":1600,"date":"2017-09-16","opp":"Kamaru Usman","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":9,"x":670.7,"y":72.6,"elo":1613,"date":"2018-02-03","opp":"Tim Means","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":10,"x":743.6,"y":58.6,"elo":1629,"date":"2018-09-22","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":11,"x":796.5,"y":74.8,"elo":1611,"date":"2019-03-09","opp":"Anthony Rocco Martin","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":12,"x":816.4,"y":91.7,"elo":1591,"date":"2019-05-11","opp":"Warlley Alves","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":108.7,"elo":1571,"date":"2019-11-16","opp":"James Krause","result":"L","delta":-20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 16, 2019 James Krause L -20
May 11, 2019 Warlley Alves L -20
Mar 9, 2019 Anthony Rocco Martin L -19
Sep 22, 2018 Ben Saunders W +16
Feb 3, 2018 Tim Means W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.29 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.52 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.14 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
39% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
75% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.41 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
1
13% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 1 (13%) 1 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
1 25%
R3
2 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1569
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.6
actual 0 vs expected