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Carlos Condit

Inactive · Orthodox · 188 cm · reach 191 cm
Elo rating
1559 ±31
LCB 1519
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-10-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Jul 10, 2021
L by Decision

Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Apr 1, 2009 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-21Sep 16, 2009 — W vs Jake Ellenberger Δ+31Jun 12, 2010 — W vs Rory MacDonald Δ+35Oct 16, 2010 — W vs Dan Hardy Δ+39Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ+39Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Nick Diaz Δ+18Nov 17, 2012 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-13Mar 16, 2013 — L vs Johny Hendricks Δ-14Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Martin Kampmann Δ+18Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Tyron Woodley Δ-23May 30, 2015 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+17Jan 2, 2016 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-18Aug 27, 2016 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-13Dec 30, 2017 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-15Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Alex Oliveira Δ-18Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-17Oct 3, 2020 — W vs Court McGee Δ+14Jan 16, 2021 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+17Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Max Griffin Δ-19 14391499156016201681 201120132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":201,"elo":1479,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":55.9,"y":174.2,"elo":1509,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":107.1,"y":143.1,"elo":1545,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"Rory MacDonald","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":131,"y":108.9,"elo":1584,"date":"2010-10-16","opp":"Dan Hardy","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":4,"x":180.2,"y":74.9,"elo":1623,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":5,"x":221.5,"y":59,"elo":1641,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Nick Diaz","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":276,"y":70.3,"elo":1628,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":298.6,"y":82.4,"elo":1614,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":330,"y":66.3,"elo":1632,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":367.8,"y":86.5,"elo":1609,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":10,"x":451.6,"y":71.6,"elo":1626,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":492.9,"y":87.5,"elo":1608,"date":"2016-01-02","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":538.1,"y":99.3,"elo":1595,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":13,"x":631.2,"y":112.3,"elo":1580,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":651.2,"y":127.8,"elo":1562,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":700.4,"y":142.5,"elo":1545,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":822.8,"y":130.4,"elo":1559,"date":"2020-10-03","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":17,"x":842.7,"y":115.2,"elo":1577,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":18,"x":876,"y":131.6,"elo":1558,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 10, 2021 Max Griffin L -19
Jan 16, 2021 Matt Brown W +17
Oct 3, 2020 Court McGee W +14
Dec 29, 2018 Michael Chiesa L -17
Apr 14, 2018 Alex Oliveira L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.73 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
39% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.71 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
55% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.50 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
34% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.61 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
44%
4 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
1 20%
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1558
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.9
actual 0 vs expected