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Carlos Condit "The Natural Born Killer"

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 6'2" 188 cm · 170 lb 77 kg · reach 75" 191 cm
At a glance
  • 56% of wins by KO/TKO
  • UFC veteran since 2009
Elo rating
1520
Global Elo 1559 ±30
Rank
—
—
UFC record
9-10-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 4
Streak
-1
Δ90d +1 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
Jul 10, 2021
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 11m
Avg fight time
13:14
Title fights
1-2
Bonuses
7
Fights per year
1.5
Since last fight
4y 12mo

Honest Elo history

19 fights · tap & drag
Apr 1, 2009 — L vs Martin Kampmann Δ-21Sep 16, 2009 — W vs Jake Ellenberger Δ+31Jun 12, 2010 — W vs Rory MacDonald Δ+35Oct 16, 2010 — W vs Dan Hardy Δ+39Jul 2, 2011 — W vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ+39Feb 4, 2012 — W vs Nick Diaz Δ+18Nov 17, 2012 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-13Mar 16, 2013 — L vs Johny Hendricks Δ-14Aug 28, 2013 — W vs Martin Kampmann Δ+18Mar 15, 2014 — L vs Tyron Woodley Δ-23May 30, 2015 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+17Jan 2, 2016 — L vs Robbie Lawler Δ-18Aug 27, 2016 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-13Dec 30, 2017 — L vs Neil Magny Δ-15Apr 14, 2018 — L vs Alex Oliveira Δ-18Dec 29, 2018 — L vs Michael Chiesa Δ-17Oct 3, 2020 — W vs Court McGee Δ+14Jan 16, 2021 — W vs Matt Brown Δ+17Jul 10, 2021 — L vs Max Griffin Δ-19 140014501500155016001650 201120132015201720192021 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":357.4,"elo":1441,"date":"2009-04-01","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":1,"x":117,"y":318.2,"elo":1472,"date":"2009-09-16","opp":"Jake Ellenberger","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":160.2,"y":272.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2010-06-12","opp":"Rory MacDonald","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":3,"x":180.4,"y":222.9,"elo":1546,"date":"2010-10-16","opp":"Dan Hardy","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":4,"x":222,"y":173.2,"elo":1585,"date":"2011-07-02","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"W","delta":39},{"i":5,"x":256.9,"y":150,"elo":1603,"date":"2012-02-04","opp":"Nick Diaz","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":303,"y":166.5,"elo":1590,"date":"2012-11-17","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":7,"x":322.1,"y":184.2,"elo":1576,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":8,"x":348.6,"y":160.7,"elo":1595,"date":"2013-08-28","opp":"Martin Kampmann","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":380.5,"y":190.2,"elo":1572,"date":"2014-03-15","opp":"Tyron Woodley","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":10,"x":451.4,"y":168.3,"elo":1589,"date":"2015-05-30","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":11,"x":486.2,"y":191.6,"elo":1571,"date":"2016-01-02","opp":"Robbie Lawler","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":12,"x":524.4,"y":208.9,"elo":1557,"date":"2016-08-27","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":13,"x":603.1,"y":227.9,"elo":1542,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Neil Magny","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":14,"x":620,"y":250.5,"elo":1525,"date":"2018-04-14","opp":"Alex Oliveira","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":15,"x":661.6,"y":272,"elo":1508,"date":"2018-12-29","opp":"Michael Chiesa","result":"L","delta":-17},{"i":16,"x":765,"y":254.4,"elo":1522,"date":"2020-10-03","opp":"Court McGee","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":17,"x":781.9,"y":232.1,"elo":1539,"date":"2021-01-16","opp":"Matt Brown","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":18,"x":810,"y":256,"elo":1520,"date":"2021-07-10","opp":"Max Griffin","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 10, 2021 Max Griffin L -19
Jan 16, 2021 Matt Brown W +17
Oct 3, 2020 Court McGee W +14
Dec 29, 2018 Michael Chiesa L -17
Apr 14, 2018 Alex Oliveira L -18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
44%
4 / 9
Finish rate
KO
4
44% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
4
44% of wins
KO: 4 (50%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
2 40%
R2
1 20%
R3
1 20%
R4
1 20%
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1006 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
56% Head
  • Head 56%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 24%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 13%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
40%
of losses by finish
4 of 10 · usually R2
1 KO/TKO 3 Sub 6 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1558
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
4
of 9 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Dong Hyun Kim
Elo 1644 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
8.9
+0.1 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 19 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1591
1517
Notable wins
Dong Hyun Kim 1644 Thiago Alves 1632 Martin Kampmann 1615 Dan Hardy 1609

Top welterweight

See full rankings →
Islam Makhachev C
#1 · Elo 1802
Kamaru Usman
#2 · Elo 1691
Shavkat Rakhmonov
#3 · Elo 1679
Michael Morales
#4 · Elo 1671
Ian Machado Garry
#5 · Elo 1669
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Carlos Condit on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.