HonestElo
← lightweight

TJ Grant

Inactive · Orthodox · 178 cm · reach 183 cm
Elo rating
1594 ±35
LCB 1549
Rank
UFC record
8-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
+5
Δ90d -18 · Δ1y -18
Last fight
May 25, 2013
W by KO

Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Apr 18, 2009 — W vs Ryo Chonan Δ+28Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-26Dec 12, 2009 — W vs Kevin Burns Δ+33May 8, 2010 — L vs Johny Hendricks Δ-26Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Julio Paulino Δ+26Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Ricardo Almeida Δ-15Oct 1, 2011 — W vs Shane Roller Δ+18May 15, 2012 — W vs Carlo Prater Δ+14Sep 22, 2012 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+18Jan 26, 2013 — W vs Matt Wiman Δ+21May 25, 2013 — W vs Gray Maynard Δ+23 14611509155716041652 2010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":162.5,"elo":1528,"date":"2009-04-18","opp":"Ryo Chonan","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":71.8,"y":191.5,"elo":1501,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":159.4,"y":155.5,"elo":1534,"date":"2009-12-12","opp":"Kevin Burns","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":243,"y":184.8,"elo":1507,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":322.6,"y":156,"elo":1533,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Julio Paulino","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":366.4,"y":173,"elo":1518,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Ricardo Almeida","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":533.6,"y":153.1,"elo":1536,"date":"2011-10-01","opp":"Shane Roller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":662.7,"y":137.1,"elo":1550,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Carlo Prater","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":736.7,"y":116.8,"elo":1569,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":808.3,"y":93.6,"elo":1589,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":876,"y":68.5,"elo":1612,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Gray Maynard","result":"W","delta":23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 25, 2013 Gray Maynard W +23
Jan 26, 2013 Matt Wiman W +21
Sep 22, 2012 Evan Dunham W +18
May 15, 2012 Carlo Prater W +14
Oct 1, 2011 Shane Roller W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.78 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
54% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.07 avg 3.34
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.56 avg 1.60
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
44% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
37% avg 72%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.56 avg 0.54
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
1
13% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 1 (13%) 1 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
3 75%
R2
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1579
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.3
actual +3 vs expected