HonestElo
← lightweight

TJ Grant

Inactive · age 42 · Orthodox · 5'10" 178 cm · 155 lb 70 kg · reach 72" 183 cm
At a glance
  • 5-fight UFC win streak
  • KO of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 2 KO/TKO finishes in a row
Elo rating
1548
Global Elo 1594 ±35
Rank
—
—
UFC record
8-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
+5
Δ90d -19 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
May 25, 2013
Win by KO · R1

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…
vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Apr 18, 2009 — W vs Ryo Chonan Δ+28Jul 11, 2009 — L vs Dong Hyun Kim Δ-26Dec 12, 2009 — W vs Kevin Burns Δ+33May 8, 2010 — L vs Johny Hendricks Δ-26Sep 25, 2010 — W vs Julio Paulino Δ+26Dec 11, 2010 — L vs Ricardo Almeida Δ-16Oct 1, 2011 — W vs Shane Roller Δ+18May 15, 2012 — W vs Carlo Prater Δ+16Sep 22, 2012 — W vs Evan Dunham Δ+18Jan 26, 2013 — W vs Matt Wiman Δ+21May 25, 2013 — W vs Gray Maynard Δ+23 14001425145014751500152515501575 2010201120122013 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":294.6,"elo":1463,"date":"2009-04-18","opp":"Ryo Chonan","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":1,"x":130.4,"y":342.3,"elo":1437,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Dong Hyun Kim","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":204.4,"y":283.1,"elo":1469,"date":"2009-12-12","opp":"Kevin Burns","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":3,"x":275,"y":331.4,"elo":1443,"date":"2010-05-08","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":4,"x":342.3,"y":284,"elo":1469,"date":"2010-09-25","opp":"Julio Paulino","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":379.3,"y":314,"elo":1453,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Ricardo Almeida","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":6,"x":520.7,"y":281.3,"elo":1470,"date":"2011-10-01","opp":"Shane Roller","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":629.8,"y":252.2,"elo":1486,"date":"2012-05-15","opp":"Carlo Prater","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":692.2,"y":218.7,"elo":1505,"date":"2012-09-22","opp":"Evan Dunham","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":752.8,"y":180.9,"elo":1525,"date":"2013-01-26","opp":"Matt Wiman","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":139.6,"elo":1548,"date":"2013-05-25","opp":"Gray Maynard","result":"W","delta":23}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 25, 2013 Gray Maynard W +23
Jan 26, 2013 Matt Wiman W +21
Sep 22, 2012 Evan Dunham W +18
May 15, 2012 Carlo Prater W +16
Oct 1, 2011 Shane Roller W +18
3 post-fight bonuses
  • Knockout of the Night ×2
  • Fight of the Night ×1

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. TJ Grant has earned 3.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
50%
4 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
1
13% of wins
DEC
4
50% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 1 (13%) 1 Dec: 4 (50%) 4
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
3 75%
R2
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 510 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 30%
  • Leg 11%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
62% Distance
  • Distance 62%
  • Clinch 28%
  • Ground 11%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 3 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1585
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
3
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Gray Maynard
Elo 1671 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.3
+2.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1484
1671
Notable wins
Gray Maynard 1671 Matt Wiman 1614 Evan Dunham 1601
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 9m
Avg fight time
11:44
Fights per year
2.7
Since last fight
13y 3mo
Bonuses
3
Ground control
32m
vs Compare TJ Grant with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top lightweight

See full rankings →
Ilia Topuria
#1 · Elo 1686
Charles Oliveira
#2 · Elo 1686
Justin Gaethje C
#3 · Elo 1670
Arman Tsarukyan
#4 · Elo 1661
Quillan Salkilld
#5 · Elo 1652
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from TJ Grant on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.