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Dan Miller

Inactive · age 44 · Orthodox · 6'1" 185 cm · 185 lb 84 kg · reach 74" 188 cm
At a glance
  • 67% of wins by submission
  • 33% of wins finished in round 1
  • UFC veteran since 2008
Elo rating
1465
Global Elo 1506 ±31
Rank
—
—
UFC record
6-7-0
KO 0 · Sub 4 · Dec 2
Streak
-2
Δ90d +12 · Δ1y +12
Last fight
Jul 12, 2015
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 27m
Avg fight time
11:20
Bonuses
1
Fights per year
1.9
Ground control
29m
Since last fight
10y 12mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Sep 17, 2008 — W vs Rob Kimmons Δ+36Oct 25, 2008 — W vs Matt Horwich Δ+26Feb 7, 2009 — W vs Jake Rosholt Δ+27May 23, 2009 — L vs Chael Sonnen Δ-39Feb 6, 2010 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-22May 29, 2010 — L vs Michael Bisping Δ-12Aug 28, 2010 — W vs John Salter Δ+18Dec 11, 2010 — W vs Joe Doerksen Δ+11Mar 19, 2011 — L vs Nate Marquardt Δ-13Aug 27, 2011 — L vs Rousimar Palhares Δ-13Jun 22, 2012 — W vs Ricardo Funch Δ+13Mar 16, 2013 — L vs Jordan Mein Δ-20Jul 12, 2015 — L vs Trevor Smith Δ-17 14251450147515001525155015751600 201020122014 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":259.9,"elo":1507,"date":"2008-09-17","opp":"Rob Kimmons","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":1,"x":101,"y":212.7,"elo":1533,"date":"2008-10-25","opp":"Matt Horwich","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":131.4,"y":162.8,"elo":1560,"date":"2009-02-07","opp":"Jake Rosholt","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":3,"x":161.7,"y":234.8,"elo":1521,"date":"2009-05-23","opp":"Chael Sonnen","result":"L","delta":-39},{"i":4,"x":236.7,"y":275.8,"elo":1498,"date":"2010-02-06","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":5,"x":269.1,"y":298.5,"elo":1486,"date":"2010-05-29","opp":"Michael Bisping","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":6,"x":295.4,"y":265.7,"elo":1504,"date":"2010-08-28","opp":"John Salter","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":7,"x":325.8,"y":245.1,"elo":1515,"date":"2010-12-11","opp":"Joe Doerksen","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":8,"x":354.1,"y":268.7,"elo":1502,"date":"2011-03-19","opp":"Nate Marquardt","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":9,"x":400.7,"y":292.4,"elo":1489,"date":"2011-08-27","opp":"Rousimar Palhares","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":10,"x":487.5,"y":268.1,"elo":1503,"date":"2012-06-22","opp":"Ricardo Funch","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":11,"x":564.7,"y":304.9,"elo":1483,"date":"2013-03-16","opp":"Jordan Mein","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":336.5,"elo":1465,"date":"2015-07-12","opp":"Trevor Smith","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 12, 2015 Trevor Smith L -17
Mar 16, 2013 Jordan Mein L -20
Jun 22, 2012 Ricardo Funch W +13
Aug 27, 2011 Rousimar Palhares L -13
Mar 19, 2011 Nate Marquardt L -13

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
4 / 6
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
4
67% of wins
DEC
2
33% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 4 (67%) 4 Dec: 2 (33%) 2
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
2 50%
R2
1 25%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 298 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
69% Distance
  • Distance 69%
  • Clinch 14%
  • Ground 16%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
14%
of losses by finish
1 of 7
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 6 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1523
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Rob Kimmons
Elo 1530 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.8
−0.8 wins below what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1530
1483

Top middleweight

See full rankings →
Dricus Du Plessis
#1 · Elo 1690
Khamzat Chimaev
#2 · Elo 1676
Sean Strickland C
#3 · Elo 1657
Brendan Allen
#4 · Elo 1654
Nassourdine Imavov
#5 · Elo 1648
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Dan Miller on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.