HonestElo
← welterweight

Jon Fitch

Inactive · Orthodox · 183 cm · reach 188 cm
Elo rating
1651 ±30
LCB 1612
Rank
UFC record
14-3-1
KO 1 · Sub 3 · Dec 10
Streak
-1
Δ90d -30 · Δ1y -30
Last fight
Feb 2, 2013
L by Decision

Elo history

18 fights · tap & drag
Oct 3, 2005 — W vs Brock Larson Δ+29Apr 6, 2006 — W vs Joshua Burkman Δ+37Jun 28, 2006 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+30Oct 14, 2006 — W vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka Δ+21Mar 3, 2007 — W vs Luigi Fioravanti Δ+26Jun 12, 2007 — W vs Roan Carneiro Δ+12Sep 22, 2007 — W vs Diego Sanchez Δ+15Mar 1, 2008 — W vs Chris Wilson Δ+9Aug 9, 2008 — L vs Georges St-Pierre Δ-20Jan 31, 2009 — W vs Akihiro Gono Δ+9Jul 11, 2009 — W vs Paulo Thiago Δ+11Dec 12, 2009 — W vs Mike Pierce Δ+10Mar 27, 2010 — W vs Ben Saunders Δ+12Aug 7, 2010 — W vs Thiago Alves Δ+12Feb 26, 2011 — D vs BJ Penn Δ-3Dec 30, 2011 — L vs Johny Hendricks Δ-23Oct 13, 2012 — W vs Erick Silva Δ+11Feb 2, 2013 — L vs Demian Maia Δ-18 14891555162116871753 2007200920112013 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":203.9,"elo":1529,"date":"2005-10-03","opp":"Brock Larson","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":82.8,"y":174.4,"elo":1566,"date":"2006-04-06","opp":"Joshua Burkman","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":2,"x":109.2,"y":150.2,"elo":1596,"date":"2006-06-28","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":143.6,"y":133.3,"elo":1617,"date":"2006-10-14","opp":"Kuniyoshi Hironaka","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":4,"x":188.1,"y":112.3,"elo":1643,"date":"2007-03-03","opp":"Luigi Fioravanti","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":220.2,"y":102.4,"elo":1656,"date":"2007-06-12","opp":"Roan Carneiro","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":6,"x":252.7,"y":90,"elo":1671,"date":"2007-09-22","opp":"Diego Sanchez","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":7,"x":303.9,"y":83.1,"elo":1680,"date":"2008-03-01","opp":"Chris Wilson","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":8,"x":355.1,"y":99.3,"elo":1659,"date":"2008-08-09","opp":"Georges St-Pierre","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":9,"x":410.7,"y":91.8,"elo":1669,"date":"2009-01-31","opp":"Akihiro Gono","result":"W","delta":9},{"i":10,"x":461.9,"y":83.3,"elo":1679,"date":"2009-07-11","opp":"Paulo Thiago","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":11,"x":510.9,"y":75.5,"elo":1689,"date":"2009-12-12","opp":"Mike Pierce","result":"W","delta":10},{"i":12,"x":544.3,"y":66,"elo":1701,"date":"2010-03-27","opp":"Ben Saunders","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":13,"x":586.6,"y":56.1,"elo":1713,"date":"2010-08-07","opp":"Thiago Alves","result":"W","delta":12},{"i":14,"x":651.2,"y":58.2,"elo":1711,"date":"2011-02-26","opp":"BJ Penn","result":"D","delta":-3},{"i":15,"x":748.8,"y":76.8,"elo":1687,"date":"2011-12-30","opp":"Johny Hendricks","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":16,"x":840.4,"y":68.2,"elo":1698,"date":"2012-10-13","opp":"Erick Silva","result":"W","delta":11},{"i":17,"x":876,"y":82.6,"elo":1680,"date":"2013-02-02","opp":"Demian Maia","result":"L","delta":-18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 2, 2013 Demian Maia L -18
Oct 13, 2012 Erick Silva W +11
Dec 30, 2011 Johny Hendricks L -23
Feb 26, 2011 BJ Penn D -3
Aug 7, 2010 Thiago Alves W +12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.52 avg 3.59
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.48 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 55%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.48 avg 1.79
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
55% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
56% avg 70%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.84 avg 0.44
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
8 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
29%
4 / 14
Finish rate
KO
1
7% of wins
SUB
3
21% of wins
DEC
10
71% of wins
KO: 1 (7%) Sub: 3 (21%) 3 Dec: 10 (71%) 10
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
R2
4 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1624
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
10.9
actual +3 vs expected