HonestElo
← lightweight

Natan Levy

Inactive · Southpaw · 175 cm · reach 180 cm
Elo rating
1501 ±42
LCB 1446
Rank
—
—
UFC record
2-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d +8 · Δ1y +8
Last fight
Mar 16, 2024
L by Submission

Elo history

4 fights · tap & drag
Nov 20, 2021 — L vs Rafa Garcia Δ-33Apr 30, 2022 — W vs Mike Breeden Δ+29Dec 3, 2022 — W vs Genaro Valdez Δ+26Mar 16, 2024 — L vs Mike Davis Δ-29 14271461149515281562 202220232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":173.4,"elo":1467,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Rafa Garcia","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":1,"x":186,"y":127.7,"elo":1496,"date":"2022-04-30","opp":"Mike Breeden","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":404.2,"y":86.6,"elo":1522,"date":"2022-12-03","opp":"Genaro Valdez","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":3,"x":876,"y":132.4,"elo":1493,"date":"2024-03-16","opp":"Mike Davis","result":"L","delta":-29}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 16, 2024 Mike Davis L -29
Dec 3, 2022 Genaro Valdez W +26
Apr 30, 2022 Mike Breeden W +29
Nov 20, 2021 Rafa Garcia L -33

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.89 avg 4.05
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
52% avg 51%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.47 avg 3.39
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
59% avg 54%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
5.18 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
56% avg 39%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
38% avg 73%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.52
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 2
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (100%) 2

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1487
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.1
actual 0 vs expected