Other bouts 8
- 1welterweight MainJoaquin BuckleyvsMike Malott
- 2women's flyweightErin BlanchfieldvsJasmine Jasudavicius
- 3Not linkedbantamweightLouis JourdainvsTimmy Cuamba
- 5women's flyweightJamey-Lyn HorthvsKatlyn Cerminara
- 6heavyweightTanner BoservsJhonata Diniz
- 7women's bantamweightMelissa CrodenvsChelsea Chandler
- 8middleweightMarc-Andre BarriaultvsKyle Daukaus
- 9middleweightJulien LeblancvsGilbert Urbina
Honest Elo Meter
20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty
By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.
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Other fights on this card · 7
Notable
Cross-division matchup: the model gives Nallo +43 Elo for a ~10 lb representative gap. Toggle it off to compare pure skill.
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Both enter off a loss (Apr 2026 / Apr 2026).
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 0-1-0 | UFC record | 5-6-0 |
| KO 0 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 2 |
| -1 | Streak | -3 |
| 37 | Age | 38 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1514 | Global Elo | 1503 |
| 1488 | Elo rating | 1456 |
Mandel Nallo — Notable ▼
Nate Landwehr — Notable ▼
- 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 60% of wins by KO or submission
Mandel Nallo — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 16 landed total · career
- Head 81%
- Body 6%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 94%
- Clinch 6%
- Ground 0%
Nate Landwehr — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 571 landed total · career
- Head 73%
- Body 14%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 76%
- Clinch 19%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Esteban Ribovics7.41
- 3Gauge Young7.00
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5King Green6.59
- 1Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 2Marquel Mederos58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Fares Ziam1.58
- 2Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.80
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo67%
- 2Fares Ziam64%
- 3Nasrat Haqparast63%
- 4Ilia Topuria62%
- 5King Green62%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Matheus Camilo4.16
- 4Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 5Grant Dawson3.62
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Ottman Azaitar100%
- 3Anshul Jubli100%
- 4Ilia Topuria95%
- 5Gauge Young92%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Nate Landwehr has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1549 vs 1485, 1 quality wins to 0.
- Apr 18, 2026
- Apr 11, 2026
- Jul 12, 2025
- Dec 7, 2024
- Mar 30, 2024
- Jun 10, 2023