Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr — Honest Elo matchup
Other bouts 12
- 1welterweight MainJoaquin BuckleyvsMike Malott
- 2women's flyweightErin BlanchfieldvsJasmine Jasudavicius
- 3Not linkedlightweightKyle NelsonvsCristian Perez
- 4middleweightMarc-Andre BarriaultvsKyle Daukaus
- 5Not linkedbantamweightLouis JourdainvsTimmy Cuamba
- 7heavyweightTanner BoservsJhonata Diniz
- 8bantamweightChad AnheligervsSteven Koslow
- 9women's bantamweightMelissa CrodenvsChelsea Chandler
- 10Not linkedbantamweightCody ChovancekvsSuYoung You
- 11Not linkedmiddleweightJulien LeblancvsNick Galanti
- 12Not linkedheavyweightJavad MahjoubvsJoel Faglier
- 13Not linkedwomen's flyweightKatlyn CerminaravsMackenzie Stiller
Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Mandel Nallo 77.9% · Nate Landwehr 22.1%
Pure Elo pre-fight: Mandel Nallo 51.6% · Nate Landwehr 48.4%
The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.
Independent UFC analytics
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Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.
Other fights on this card · 6
Notable
5 career post-fight bonuses — a reliable action fighter.
Fewer than 4 UFC fights — the rating is provisional and the uncertainty band is wide.
Tale of the tape
| 1-1-0 | UFC record | 5-7-0 |
| KO 1 · Sub 0 | Finishes | KO 1 · Sub 2 |
| +1 | Streak | -4 |
| 37 | Age | 38 |
| 6'0" 183 cm | Height | 5'9" 175 cm |
| 75" 191 cm | Reach | 72" 183 cm |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
| 1514 | Global Elo | 1482 |
| 1454 | Elo rating | 1435 |
Mandel Nallo — Notable ▼
- Performance of the Night in last fight
- 100% of wins by KO/TKO
Nate Landwehr — Notable ▼
- 4-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
- Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
- 60% of wins by KO or submission
Mandel Nallo — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 74 landed total · career
- Head 72%
- Body 11%
- Leg 18%
- Distance 96%
- Clinch 1%
- Ground 3%
Nate Landwehr — Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 584 landed total · career
- Head 73%
- Body 14%
- Leg 13%
- Distance 77%
- Clinch 19%
- Ground 4%
Performance comparison
Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.
- 1Terrance McKinney7.95
- 2Gauge Young7.53
- 3Esteban Ribovics7.46
- 4Billy Quarantillo6.80
- 5Chris Padilla6.67
- 1Marquel Mederos60%
- 2Benoit Saint Denis58%
- 3Quillan Salkilld58%
- 4Justin Gaethje58%
- 5Anshul Jubli57%
- 1Kaue Fernandes1.63
- 2Fares Ziam1.63
- 3Nurullo Aliev1.67
- 4Arman Tsarukyan1.77
- 5Joe Solecki1.90
- 1Matheus Camilo66%
- 2Fares Ziam63%
- 3Ilia Topuria62%
- 4Nasrat Haqparast62%
- 5King Green61%
- 1Quillan Salkilld5.74
- 2Mateusz Gamrot5.08
- 3Benoit Saint Denis4.15
- 4Grant Dawson3.62
- 5Nurullo Aliev3.50
- 1Kaue Fernandes100%
- 2Rafael Fiziev71%
- 3Manuel Torres67%
- 4Esteban Ribovics67%
- 5Rongzhu63%
- 1Trey Ogden100%
- 2Matheus Camilo100%
- 3Ottman Azaitar100%
- 4Anshul Jubli100%
- 5Ilia Topuria95%
- 1Charles Oliveira2.59
- 2Terrance McKinney2.18
- 3Chase Hooper2.05
- 4Benoit Saint Denis1.73
- 5Jim Miller1.72
- 1Grant Dawson9.76
- 2Nurullo Aliev8.80
- 3Benoit Saint Denis7.08
- 4Terrance McKinney6.77
- 5Claudio Puelles6.69
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Finish & durability
How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.
Strength of schedule in UFC
Nate Landwehr has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1522 vs 1494, 1 quality wins to 0.
- Oct 17, 2026
- Apr 18, 2026
- Oct 17, 2026
- Apr 11, 2026
- Jul 12, 2025
- Dec 7, 2024
- Mar 30, 2024