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✓ Tanner Boser won · by TKO · R3

Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz — Honest Elo matchup

heavyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026 · Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
View full event card
Corner A
Tanner Boser
#32 6-6-0
Elo 1467
VS
Corner B
Jhonata Diniz
#33 3-3-0
Elo 1454
Final result · recorded Oct 17, 2026
Tanner Boser
defeated Jhonata Diniz by TKO in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Tanner Boser 32.9% · Jhonata Diniz 67.1%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Tanner Boser 45.7% · Jhonata Diniz 54.3%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

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Other fights on this card · 6
Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Main event · welterweight Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius women's flyweight Marc-Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus middleweight Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr lightweight Chad Anheliger vs Steven Koslow bantamweight Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler women's bantamweight

Tale of the tape

6-6-0 UFC record 3-3-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 0
+1 Streak -2
35 Age 35
6'2" 188 cm Height 6'4" 193 cm
75" 191 cm Reach 79" 201 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1515 Global Elo 1506
1467 Elo rating 1454
Tanner Boser — Notable ▼
At a glance
Jhonata Diniz — Notable ▼

Tanner Boser — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 620 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
  • Head 50%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 30%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 9%
  • Ground 9%

Jhonata Diniz — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 221 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 6%
  • Leg 20%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
94% Distance
  • Distance 94%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 3%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.63
3.12
div avg 4.48
54%
56%
div avg 53%
2.78
3.33
div avg 3.40
58%
56%
div avg 51%
0.34
0.00
div avg 1.90
75%
—
div avg 42%
70%
62%
div avg 72%
0.11
0.00
div avg 0.83
2
0
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Tanner Boser
67% finish rate
KO 4 · Sub 0
can finish?
Jhonata Diniz
finished 100%
3 of 3 losses
Jhonata Diniz
33% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 0
can finish?
Tanner Boser
finished 33%
2 of 6 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Jhonata Diniz has faced the tougher recent slate — last-5 avg 1538 vs 1495, 0 quality wins to 0.

Tanner Boser red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1495
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ovince Saint Preux
Elo 1572 at fight time
Expected wins
6.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 12 fights
1463
1526
Jhonata Diniz blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1538
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win
Karl Williams
Elo 1573 at fight time
Expected wins
3.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 6 fights
1467
1495
Corner A recent form
Tanner Boser
Corner B recent form
Jhonata Diniz
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Tanner Boser & Jhonata Diniz on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.