HonestElo
← featherweight

Morgan Charriere

Elo rating
1534 ±38
LCB 1485
Rank
#51
top 52% of division
UFC record
3-3-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Dec 13, 2025
L by KO

Elo history

6 fights · tap & drag
Sep 2, 2023 — W vs Manolo Zecchini Δ+33Apr 6, 2024 — L vs Chepe Mariscal Δ-26Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Gabriel Miranda Δ+32Mar 22, 2025 — L vs Nathaniel Wood Δ-23Jul 12, 2025 — W vs Nate Landwehr Δ+35Dec 13, 2025 — L vs Melquizael Costa Δ-17 14671498152915601591 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":123.2,"elo":1533,"date":"2023-09-02","opp":"Manolo Zecchini","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":1,"x":245.9,"y":167.6,"elo":1507,"date":"2024-04-06","opp":"Chepe Mariscal","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":2,"x":424.9,"y":112.2,"elo":1540,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Gabriel Miranda","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":3,"x":603.9,"y":152.4,"elo":1516,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Nathaniel Wood","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":4,"x":718.5,"y":92.4,"elo":1551,"date":"2025-07-12","opp":"Nate Landwehr","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":5,"x":876,"y":121.3,"elo":1534,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Melquizael Costa","result":"L","delta":-17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 13, 2025 Melquizael Costa L -17
Jul 12, 2025 Nate Landwehr W +35
Mar 22, 2025 Nathaniel Wood L -23
Sep 28, 2024 Gabriel Miranda W +32
Apr 6, 2024 Chepe Mariscal L -26

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.15 avg 3.76
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.54 avg 2.97
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 57%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.62 avg 1.39
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
47% avg 41%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
83% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.23 avg 0.43
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
100%
3 / 3
Finish rate
KO
3
100% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
0
0% of wins
KO: 3 (100%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1558
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.8
actual 0 vs expected