HonestElo
← Back to event card
✓ Jasmine Jasudavicius won · by Decision · R3

Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius — Honest Elo matchup

women's flyweight
Other bouts 12
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Oct 17, 2026 · Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
View full event card
Corner A
Erin Blanchfield
#4 8-2-0
Elo 1623
VS
Corner B
Jasmine Jasudavicius
#6 10-3-0
Elo 1599
Final result · recorded Oct 18, 2026
Jasmine Jasudavicius
defeated Erin Blanchfield by Decision in round 3

Honest Elo mode pre-fight: Erin Blanchfield 63.8% · Jasmine Jasudavicius 36.2%

Pure Elo pre-fight: Erin Blanchfield 60.2% · Jasmine Jasudavicius 39.8%

The Honest Elo Meter is hidden once a bout is recorded — win-probability simulations only make sense before the fight. Pre-fight ratings have been updated in both fighters' profiles below to reflect this result.

Independent UFC analytics

Like this breakdown? Get the edge on every card.

Honest Elo rates every UFC fighter with a confidence band — no hype, not betting advice.

Follow @HonestElo Next card →
Other fights on this card · 6
Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott Main event · welterweight Marc-Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus middleweight Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr lightweight Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz heavyweight Chad Anheliger vs Steven Koslow bantamweight Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler women's bantamweight

Notable

Blanchfield

Has never been finished — all 2 losses went to the scorecards.

Tale of the tape

8-2-0 UFC record 10-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 4 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 3
-1 Streak +2
27 Age 37
5'4" 163 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
66" 168 cm Reach 68" 173 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1663 Global Elo 1630
1623 Elo rating 1599
Erin Blanchfield — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 50% of wins by submission
  • Career-best 6-fight win streak
Jasmine Jasudavicius — Notable ▼
At a glance

Erin Blanchfield — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 705 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
72% Head
  • Head 72%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 12%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
79% Distance
  • Distance 79%
  • Clinch 6%
  • Ground 15%

Jasmine Jasudavicius — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 548 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
69% Head
  • Head 69%
  • Body 23%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
68% Distance
  • Distance 68%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 21%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

5.12
3.31
div avg 4.16
45%
43%
div avg 45%
4.10
3.45
div avg 3.71
60%
52%
div avg 56%
1.85
2.72
div avg 1.37
35%
43%
div avg 38%
72%
72%
div avg 65%
0.76
0.81
div avg 0.39
5
7
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Erin Blanchfield
50% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 4
can finish?
Jasmine Jasudavicius
finished 33%
1 of 3 losses
Jasmine Jasudavicius
30% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 3
can finish?
Erin Blanchfield
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1625 (Erin Blanchfield) vs 1610 (Jasmine Jasudavicius).

Erin Blanchfield red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1625
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
3
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Rose Namajunas
Elo 1648 at fight time
Expected wins
5.3
+2.7 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 10 fights
1465
1610
Notable wins
Rose Namajunas 1648 Jessica Andrade 1634 Tracy Cortez 1628
Jasmine Jasudavicius blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1610
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+)
2
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win
Erin Blanchfield
Elo 1682 at fight time
Expected wins
6.5
+3.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1502
1682
Notable wins
Erin Blanchfield 1682 Jessica Andrade 1601

Common opponents

4 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • W
    Tracy Cortez
    L
    Submission · R2
    Decision - Unanimous
    Nov 15, 2025
    Sep 16, 2023
  • L
    Manon Fiorot
    L
    Decision - Unanimous
    KO/TKO · R1
    Mar 30, 2024
    Oct 18, 2025
  • W
    Jessica Andrade
    W
    Submission · R2
    Submission · R1
    Feb 18, 2023
    May 10, 2025
  • W
    Miranda Maverick
    W
    Decision - Unanimous
    Decision - Unanimous
    Dec 11, 2021
    Jun 10, 2023
Corner A recent form
Erin Blanchfield
Corner B recent form
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Erin Blanchfield & Jasmine Jasudavicius on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.