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Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden — Honest Elo matchup

flyweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Las Vegas
Oct 31, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Ode Osbourne
#36 5-7-0
Elo 1426
VS
Corner B
Cody Durden
#37 7-9-1
Elo 1422

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Ode Osbourne 50.0%
Corner B Cody Durden 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 7
Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Main event · lightweight Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal welterweight Yana Santos vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez women's strawweight Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee featherweight Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos featherweight Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski middleweight

Notable

Form

Both enter off a loss (Feb 2026 / Jul 2026).

Osbourne

Reach advantage of ~6".

Tale of the tape

5-7-0 UFC record 7-9-1
KO 3 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 1
-1 Streak -1
34 Age 35
5'7" 170 cm Height 5'7" 170 cm
73" 185 cm Reach 67" 170 cm
Southpaw Stance Southpaw
1476 Global Elo 1467
1426 Elo rating 1422
Ode Osbourne — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 60% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 40% of wins finished in round 1
Cody Durden — Notable ▼
At a glance

Ode Osbourne — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 307 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
65% Head
  • Head 65%
  • Body 21%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
83% Distance
  • Distance 83%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 13%

Cody Durden — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 552 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 13%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 11%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

2.88
3.27
div avg 3.96
40%
44%
div avg 47%
3.24
3.89
div avg 3.36
49%
51%
div avg 56%
0.84
3.82
div avg 1.57
26%
48%
div avg 38%
66%
57%
div avg 64%
0.28
0.62
div avg 0.78
1
5
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Ode Osbourne
60% finish rate
KO 3 · Sub 0
can finish?
Cody Durden
finished 78%
7 of 9 losses
Cody Durden
29% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 1
can finish?
Ode Osbourne
finished 71%
5 of 7 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1502 (Ode Osbourne) vs 1522 (Cody Durden).

Ode Osbourne red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1502
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Charles Johnson
Elo 1535 at fight time
Expected wins
5.9
−0.9 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1527
1455
Cody Durden blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1522
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
Jafel Filho
Elo 1549 at fight time
Expected wins
8.1
−1.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 17 fights
1560
1516

Common opponents

2 shared opponents · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

  • L
    Jafel Filho
    W
    Submission · R1
    Decision - Unanimous
    Mar 16, 2024
    Apr 25, 2026
  • W
    Charles Johnson
    W
    Decision - Split
    Decision - Unanimous
    Feb 25, 2023
    Apr 29, 2023
Corner A recent form
Ode Osbourne
Corner B recent form
Cody Durden
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Ode Osbourne & Cody Durden on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.