HonestElo
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Asu Almabayev

Active #6 flyweight
Elo rating
1608 ±27
LCB 1573
Rank
#6
top 10% of division
UFC record
6-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +30
Last fight
Nov 22, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Aug 5, 2023 — W vs Ode Osbourne Δ+35Mar 9, 2024 — W vs Cj Vergara Δ+28Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Jose Johnson Δ+24Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Matheus Nicolau Δ+28Mar 1, 2025 — L vs Manel Kape Δ-37Jul 26, 2025 — W vs Jose Ochoa Δ+13Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Alex Perez Δ+17 14951535157516151655 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":182.9,"elo":1535,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":244.1,"y":146.1,"elo":1563,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Cj Vergara","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":343.5,"y":114.3,"elo":1587,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Jose Johnson","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":471.3,"y":77.1,"elo":1615,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":606.2,"y":126.2,"elo":1578,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Manel Kape","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":755.3,"y":109.2,"elo":1591,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Jose Ochoa","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":86.2,"elo":1608,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 22, 2025 Alex Perez W +17
Jul 26, 2025 Jose Ochoa W +13
Mar 1, 2025 Manel Kape L -37
Oct 19, 2024 Matheus Nicolau W +28
Jun 15, 2024 Jose Johnson W +24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.10 avg 3.44
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 46%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
1.81 avg 2.91
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
54% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
4.05 avg 1.47
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
43% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
44% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.35 avg 0.72
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
6 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.8
actual +2 vs expected