← flyweight

Asu Almabayev "Zulfikar"

Active #6 flyweight · age 32 · Orthodox · 5'4" 163 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 65" 165 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Jun 27
vs Charles Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres
At a glance
Elo rating
1573
Global Elo 1608 ±27
Rank
#6
top 12% of division
UFC record
6-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 4
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +30
Last fight
Nov 22, 2025
Win by Submission · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 31m
Avg fight time
12:58
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
3.0
Ground control
42m
Since last fight
7mo

Honest Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
Aug 5, 2023 — W vs Ode Osbourne Δ+35Mar 9, 2024 — W vs Cj Vergara Δ+28Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Jose Johnson Δ+24Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Matheus Nicolau Δ+28Mar 1, 2025 — L vs Manel Kape Δ-37Jul 26, 2025 — W vs Jose Ochoa Δ+13Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Alex Perez Δ+17 147515001525155015751600 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":345.7,"elo":1500,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"W","delta":35},{"i":1,"x":276,"y":274.6,"elo":1528,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Cj Vergara","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":2,"x":360,"y":213.4,"elo":1552,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Jose Johnson","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":468,"y":141.5,"elo":1580,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":4,"x":582,"y":236.2,"elo":1543,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Manel Kape","result":"L","delta":-37},{"i":5,"x":708,"y":203.4,"elo":1556,"date":"2025-07-26","opp":"Jose Ochoa","result":"W","delta":13},{"i":6,"x":810,"y":159.1,"elo":1573,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Nov 22, 2025 Alex Perez W +17
Jul 26, 2025 Jose Ochoa W +13
Mar 1, 2025 Manel Kape L -37
Oct 19, 2024 Matheus Nicolau W +28
Jun 15, 2024 Jose Johnson W +24

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
33% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (33%) 2 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
R2
1 50%
R3
1 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 210 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
54% Head
  • Head 54%
  • Body 24%
  • Leg 22%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
65% Distance
  • Distance 65%
  • Clinch 11%
  • Ground 24%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
1 of 1
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 0 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1547
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 6 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Matheus Nicolau
Elo 1578 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
3.8
+2.2 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1523
1569
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Asu Almabayev on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.