HonestElo
← flyweight

Cj Vergara

Active #41 flyweight
Elo rating
1470 ±35
LCB 1425
Rank
#41
top 77% of division
UFC record
3-5-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
-3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -19
Last fight
Mar 29, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

8 fights · tap & drag
Nov 6, 2021 — L vs Ode Osbourne Δ-32May 7, 2022 — W vs Kleydson Rodrigues Δ+31Oct 15, 2022 — L vs Tatsuro Taira Δ-30Mar 25, 2023 — W vs Daniel Lacerda Δ+27Jul 29, 2023 — W vs Vinicius Salvador Δ+27Mar 9, 2024 — L vs Asu Almabayev Δ-15Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Ramazan Temirov Δ-19Mar 29, 2025 — L vs Edgar Chairez Δ-19 14281462149615301563 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":173.3,"elo":1468,"date":"2021-11-06","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":1,"x":149.2,"y":124,"elo":1500,"date":"2022-05-07","opp":"Kleydson Rodrigues","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":2,"x":259.9,"y":171.6,"elo":1469,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Tatsuro Taira","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":3,"x":370.6,"y":128.6,"elo":1497,"date":"2023-03-25","opp":"Daniel Lacerda","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":4,"x":457.2,"y":86.7,"elo":1523,"date":"2023-07-29","opp":"Vinicius Salvador","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":5,"x":611.3,"y":111,"elo":1508,"date":"2024-03-09","opp":"Asu Almabayev","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":760.5,"y":140.5,"elo":1489,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Ramazan Temirov","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":876,"y":170.3,"elo":1470,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Edgar Chairez","result":"L","delta":-19}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 29, 2025 Edgar Chairez L -19
Oct 12, 2024 Ramazan Temirov L -19
Mar 9, 2024 Asu Almabayev L -15
Jul 29, 2023 Vinicius Salvador W +27
Mar 25, 2023 Daniel Lacerda W +27

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.60 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
57% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.37 avg 2.87
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
53% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
60% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.17 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
1 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
67% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (67%) 2
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
R2
1 100%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1478
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.1
actual -1 vs expected