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Manel Kape "StarBoy"

Active #3 flyweight · age 32 · Southpaw · 5'5" 165 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 68" 173 cm
At a glance
  • 4-fight UFC win streak
  • Performance of the Night in last fight
  • Has never been finished — durability signal
  • 4 KO/TKO finishes in a row
Elo rating
1601
Global Elo 1632 ±24
Rank
#3
top 5% of division
UFC record
8-3-0
KO 6 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+4
Δ90d +20 · Δ1y +38
Last fight
Jun 20, 2026
Win by KO · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 4m
Avg fight time
11:16
Bonuses
4
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
0d

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-22Mar 13, 2021 — L vs Matheus Nicolau Δ-23Aug 7, 2021 — W vs Ode Osbourne Δ+37Dec 4, 2021 — W vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov Δ+32Dec 17, 2022 — W vs David Dvorak Δ+31Sep 9, 2023 — W vs Felipe Dos Santos Δ+14Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-12Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Bruno Silva Δ+17Mar 1, 2025 — W vs Asu Almabayev Δ+21Dec 13, 2025 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+18Jun 20, 2026 — W vs Kyoji Horiguchi Δ+20 140014501500155016001650 20222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":349.5,"elo":1447,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":1,"x":102.9,"y":378.3,"elo":1425,"date":"2021-03-13","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":2,"x":156.9,"y":330.5,"elo":1462,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":200.6,"y":290.2,"elo":1494,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Zhalgas Zhumagulov","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":339.4,"y":250.1,"elo":1525,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"David Dvorak","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":437.1,"y":233,"elo":1538,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Felipe Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":555.4,"y":248.8,"elo":1526,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":606.9,"y":226.8,"elo":1543,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":635.1,"y":200.5,"elo":1564,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Asu Almabayev","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":740.6,"y":177.8,"elo":1581,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":152.3,"elo":1601,"date":"2026-06-20","opp":"Kyoji Horiguchi","result":"W","delta":20}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 20, 2026 Kyoji Horiguchi W +20
Dec 13, 2025 Brandon Royval W +18
Mar 1, 2025 Asu Almabayev W +21
Dec 14, 2024 Bruno Silva W +17
Jul 27, 2024 Muhammad Mokaev L -12

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
6
75% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 6 (75%) 6 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
3 50%
R2
R3
3 50%
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 580 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
67% Head
  • Head 67%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
89% Distance
  • Distance 89%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 7%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
Never been finished
All 3 losses went to the scorecards

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1604
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Kyoji Horiguchi
Elo 1640 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.1
+2.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1587
1640
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Manel Kape on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.