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Manel Kape

Active #5 flyweight · Southpaw · 165 cm · reach 173 cm
Elo rating
1612 ±22
LCB 1584
Rank
#5
top 8% of division
UFC record
7-3-0
KO 5 · Sub 0 · Dec 2
Streak
+3
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Dec 13, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Feb 6, 2021 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-22Mar 13, 2021 — L vs Matheus Nicolau Δ-23Aug 7, 2021 — W vs Ode Osbourne Δ+37Dec 4, 2021 — W vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov Δ+32Dec 17, 2022 — W vs David Dvorak Δ+31Sep 9, 2023 — W vs Felipe Dos Santos Δ+14Jul 27, 2024 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-12Dec 14, 2024 — W vs Bruno Silva Δ+17Mar 1, 2025 — W vs Asu Almabayev Δ+21Dec 13, 2025 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+18 14161475153415931652 2022202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":180,"elo":1478,"date":"2021-02-06","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":1,"x":40.8,"y":200.2,"elo":1456,"date":"2021-03-13","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":2,"x":111.6,"y":166.7,"elo":1493,"date":"2021-08-07","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":3,"x":168.8,"y":138.5,"elo":1525,"date":"2021-12-04","opp":"Zhalgas Zhumagulov","result":"W","delta":32},{"i":4,"x":350.7,"y":110.5,"elo":1556,"date":"2022-12-17","opp":"David Dvorak","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":478.6,"y":98.5,"elo":1569,"date":"2023-09-09","opp":"Felipe Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":633.5,"y":109.6,"elo":1557,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":7,"x":700.9,"y":94.2,"elo":1574,"date":"2024-12-14","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":737.9,"y":75.7,"elo":1595,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Asu Almabayev","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":59.8,"elo":1612,"date":"2025-12-13","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 13, 2025 Brandon Royval W +18
Mar 1, 2025 Asu Almabayev W +21
Dec 14, 2024 Bruno Silva W +17
Jul 27, 2024 Muhammad Mokaev L -12
Sep 9, 2023 Felipe Dos Santos W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.67 avg 3.35
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
56% avg 46%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.78 avg 2.84
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
57% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.38 avg 1.59
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 43%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
81% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.25 avg 0.76
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
71%
5 / 7
Finish rate
KO
5
71% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
2
29% of wins
KO: 5 (71%) 5 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 2 (29%) 2
Finishes by round
5 total
R1
3 60%
R2
R3
2 40%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1576
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
4.7
actual +2 vs expected