Muhammad Mokaev "The Punisher"
Active Retired · age 25 · Orthodox ·
5'7" 170 cm ·
125 lb 57 kg · reach
70" 178 cm
Retired.
Ratings shown are a historical snapshot at the time of the last fight.
At a glance
- 7-fight UFC win streak — still undefeated
- 57% of wins by submission
Elo rating
1618
Global Elo 1644 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
7-0-0
KO 0 · Sub 4 · Dec 3
Streak
+7
Δ90d -17 · Δ1y -17
Last fight
Jul 27, 2024
Win by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 28m
Avg fight time
12:34
Bonuses
2
Fights per year
3.0
Ground control
46m
Since last fight
1y 11mo
Honest Elo history
7 fights · tap & dragLast fights
Elo-based expectation · not betting advice| Date | Opponent | Result | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2024 | Manel Kape | W | +12 |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Alex Perez | W | +13 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Tim Elliott | W | +23 |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Jafel Filho | W | +25 |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Malcolm Gordon | W | +28 |
Performance
Fighter vs division avg
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Joshua Van8.43
- 2Brandon Royval5.54
- 3Jose Ochoa5.16
- 4Daniel Barez4.97
- 5Cj Vergara4.95
SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Joshua Van57%
- 2Cj Vergara57%
- 3Andre Lima56%
- 4Manel Kape55%
- 5Tatsuro Taira54%
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Jose Johnson1.85
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel1.92
- 3Allan Nascimento1.93
- 4Asu Almabayev1.99
- 5Joseph Morales2.05
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Striking Defense
- 1Matheus Nicolau66%
- 2Kai Kara-France64%
- 3Kyoji Horiguchi64%
- 4Sumudaerji62%
- 5Mitch Raposo61%
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Asu Almabayev4.46
- 2Tim Elliott3.61
- 3Rei Tsuruya3.60
- 4Tatsuro Taira3.57
- 5Azat Maksum3.50
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Brandon Royval75%
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel67%
- 3Jose Johnson67%
- 4Joshua Van62%
- 5Andre Lima57%
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Lone'Er Kavanagh94%
- 2Matheus Nicolau90%
- 3Andre Lima88%
- 4Azat Maksum86%
- 5Alessandro Costa84%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Joseph Morales3.04
- 2Jimmy Flick2.39
- 3Edgar Chairez1.67
- 4Tagir Ulanbekov1.52
- 5Asu Almabayev1.49
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Tatsuro Taira8.08
- 2Asu Almabayev6.98
- 3Tagir Ulanbekov6.11
- 4Rei Tsuruya5.59
- 5Allan Nascimento5.00
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Matheus Nicolau0.97
- 2Manel Kape0.97
- 3Alessandro Costa0.95
- 4Alex Perez0.91
- 5Edgar Chairez0.83
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg
Finishes
How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.57%
4 / 7
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
4
57% of wins
DEC
3
43% of wins
Finishes by round
4 total
R1 1 25%
R2
R3 3 75%
R4
R5
Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 142 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
54% Head
- Head 54%
- Body 32%
- Leg 15%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
71% Distance
- Distance 71%
- Clinch 5%
- Ground 24%
Durability
How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.Unbeaten in the UFC
7-0 — no losses on record
Strength of schedule in UFC
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1531
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 7 UFC wins
Toughest win
The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Alex Perez
Elo 1578 at fight time
Expected wins
How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
4.1
+2.9 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career
· 7 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500 1569
Top flyweight
See full rankings → Source
Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from
Muhammad Mokaev on UFCStats →.
Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo —
not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.