HonestElo
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Edgar Chairez

Active #22 flyweight
Elo rating
1537 ±33
LCB 1494
Rank
#22
top 40% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 2 · Dec 1
Streak
+2
Δ90d +26 · Δ1y +61
Last fight
Feb 28, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Jul 8, 2023 — L vs Tatsuro Taira Δ-22Feb 24, 2024 — W vs Daniel Lacerda Δ+24Sep 14, 2024 — L vs Joshua Van Δ-26Mar 29, 2025 — W vs Cj Vergara Δ+34Feb 28, 2026 — W vs Felipe Bunes Δ+26 14361472150715421577 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":173,"elo":1478,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Tatsuro Taira","result":"L","delta":-22},{"i":1,"x":227.7,"y":136.6,"elo":1502,"date":"2024-02-24","opp":"Daniel Lacerda","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":406.8,"y":175.7,"elo":1476,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Joshua Van","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":3,"x":579.7,"y":124,"elo":1511,"date":"2025-03-29","opp":"Cj Vergara","result":"W","delta":34},{"i":4,"x":876,"y":84.3,"elo":1537,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Felipe Bunes","result":"W","delta":26}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 28, 2026 Felipe Bunes W +26
Mar 29, 2025 Cj Vergara W +34
Sep 14, 2024 Joshua Van L -26
Feb 24, 2024 Daniel Lacerda W +24
Jul 8, 2023 Tatsuro Taira L -22

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.40 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
46% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.42 avg 2.82
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
45% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.00 avg 1.61
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
0% avg 44%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
30% avg 65%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.36 avg 0.72
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
0 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
2
67% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 2 (67%) 2 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
2 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1495
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
2.5
actual +1 vs expected