HonestElo
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Tim Elliott

Active #25 flyweight · Southpaw · 170 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1525 ±28
LCB 1488
Rank
#25
top 46% of division
UFC record
10-11-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 7
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +17
Last fight
Aug 16, 2025
W by Submission

Elo history

21 fights · tap & drag
May 5, 2012 — L vs John Dodson Δ-25Dec 15, 2012 — W vs Jared Papazian Δ+26Aug 31, 2013 — W vs Louis Gaudinot Δ+29Nov 16, 2013 — L vs Ali Bagautinov Δ-28Apr 26, 2014 — L vs Joseph Benavidez Δ-26Feb 14, 2015 — L vs Zach Makovsky Δ-14Dec 3, 2016 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-7Apr 15, 2017 — W vs Louis Smolka Δ+21Jun 10, 2017 — L vs Ben Nguyen Δ-14Dec 30, 2017 — W vs Mark De La Rosa Δ+21Oct 12, 2019 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-12Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Askar Askarov Δ-14May 30, 2020 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-16Jul 15, 2020 — W vs Ryan Benoit Δ+18Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Jordan Espinosa Δ+17Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Matheus Nicolau Δ-11Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Tagir Ulanbekov Δ+20Jun 3, 2023 — W vs Victor Altamirano Δ+18Oct 21, 2023 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-13Dec 9, 2023 — W vs Sumudaerji Δ+20Aug 16, 2025 — W vs Kai Asakura Δ+17 13991442148415271570 2015201820212024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":142.2,"elo":1475,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"John Dodson","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":63.3,"y":109.8,"elo":1501,"date":"2012-12-15","opp":"Jared Papazian","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":108.8,"y":73.8,"elo":1530,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Louis Gaudinot","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":122.4,"y":109.2,"elo":1501,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Ali Bagautinov","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":150.6,"y":141.7,"elo":1475,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Joseph Benavidez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":5,"x":202.3,"y":158.6,"elo":1461,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Zach Makovsky","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":317.8,"y":167.8,"elo":1454,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-7},{"i":7,"x":341.2,"y":141.4,"elo":1475,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Louis Smolka","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":351,"y":159.1,"elo":1461,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Ben Nguyen","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":386.7,"y":133.6,"elo":1482,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Mark De La Rosa","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":501,"y":148.3,"elo":1470,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":518.2,"y":166.3,"elo":1455,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":12,"x":541.6,"y":186.2,"elo":1439,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":549.7,"y":163.6,"elo":1457,"date":"2020-07-15","opp":"Ryan Benoit","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":590.8,"y":142.8,"elo":1474,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Jordan Espinosa","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":628.9,"y":157,"elo":1463,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":16,"x":654.7,"y":132,"elo":1483,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Tagir Ulanbekov","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":17,"x":734.6,"y":109.3,"elo":1501,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Victor Altamirano","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":18,"x":759.2,"y":125.1,"elo":1488,"date":"2023-10-21","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":767.8,"y":100.3,"elo":1508,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Sumudaerji","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":20,"x":876,"y":79.4,"elo":1525,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Kai Asakura","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Aug 16, 2025 Kai Asakura W +17
Dec 9, 2023 Sumudaerji W +20
Oct 21, 2023 Muhammad Mokaev L -13
Jun 3, 2023 Victor Altamirano W +18
Mar 5, 2022 Tagir Ulanbekov W +20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.18 avg 3.40
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.50 avg 2.88
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
58% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.50 avg 1.48
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
48% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
59% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.06 avg 0.73
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
4 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
30%
3 / 10
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
30% of wins
DEC
7
70% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (30%) 3 Dec: 7 (70%) 7
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1539
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
8.8
actual +1 vs expected