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Tim Elliott

Active #26 flyweight · age 39 · Southpaw · 5'7" 170 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 66" 168 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1463
Global Elo 1509 ±36
Rank
#26
top 58% of division
UFC record
10-12-0
KO 0 · Sub 3 · Dec 7
Streak
-1
Δ90d -16 · Δ1y +1
Last fight
May 2, 2026
Loss by Decision · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
4h 30m
Avg fight time
12:16
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
9
Fights per year
1.6
Ground control
1h 21m
Since last fight
2mo

Honest Elo history

22 fights · tap & drag
May 5, 2012 — L vs John Dodson Δ-25Dec 15, 2012 — W vs Jared Papazian Δ+26Aug 31, 2013 — W vs Louis Gaudinot Δ+29Nov 16, 2013 — L vs Ali Bagautinov Δ-28Apr 26, 2014 — L vs Joseph Benavidez Δ-26Feb 14, 2015 — L vs Zach Makovsky Δ-14Dec 3, 2016 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-7Apr 15, 2017 — W vs Louis Smolka Δ+21Jun 10, 2017 — L vs Ben Nguyen Δ-14Dec 30, 2017 — W vs Mark De La Rosa Δ+21Oct 12, 2019 — L vs Deiveson Figueiredo Δ-12Jan 18, 2020 — L vs Askar Askarov Δ-14May 30, 2020 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-16Jul 15, 2020 — W vs Ryan Benoit Δ+18Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Jordan Espinosa Δ+17Oct 9, 2021 — L vs Matheus Nicolau Δ-11Mar 5, 2022 — W vs Tagir Ulanbekov Δ+20Jun 3, 2023 — W vs Victor Altamirano Δ+18Oct 21, 2023 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-13Dec 9, 2023 — W vs Sumudaerji Δ+20Aug 16, 2025 — W vs Kai Asakura Δ+17May 2, 2026 — L vs Steve Erceg Δ-16 13501375140014251450147515001525 2015201820212024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":267,"elo":1428,"date":"2012-05-05","opp":"John Dodson","result":"L","delta":-25},{"i":1,"x":121.6,"y":219.5,"elo":1454,"date":"2012-12-15","opp":"Jared Papazian","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":2,"x":158.1,"y":166.4,"elo":1483,"date":"2013-08-31","opp":"Louis Gaudinot","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":168.9,"y":218.5,"elo":1455,"date":"2013-11-16","opp":"Ali Bagautinov","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":4,"x":191.6,"y":266.3,"elo":1429,"date":"2014-04-26","opp":"Joseph Benavidez","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":5,"x":233,"y":291.1,"elo":1415,"date":"2015-02-14","opp":"Zach Makovsky","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":6,"x":325.7,"y":304.7,"elo":1408,"date":"2016-12-03","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-7},{"i":7,"x":344.5,"y":265.9,"elo":1429,"date":"2017-04-15","opp":"Louis Smolka","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":352.4,"y":291.9,"elo":1415,"date":"2017-06-10","opp":"Ben Nguyen","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":9,"x":381,"y":254.4,"elo":1435,"date":"2017-12-30","opp":"Mark De La Rosa","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":10,"x":472.7,"y":276,"elo":1423,"date":"2019-10-12","opp":"Deiveson Figueiredo","result":"L","delta":-12},{"i":11,"x":486.5,"y":302.5,"elo":1409,"date":"2020-01-18","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":12,"x":505.2,"y":331.7,"elo":1393,"date":"2020-05-30","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":13,"x":511.7,"y":298.5,"elo":1411,"date":"2020-07-15","opp":"Ryan Benoit","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":14,"x":544.7,"y":267.9,"elo":1428,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Jordan Espinosa","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":15,"x":575.3,"y":288.8,"elo":1416,"date":"2021-10-09","opp":"Matheus Nicolau","result":"L","delta":-11},{"i":16,"x":596,"y":252,"elo":1436,"date":"2022-03-05","opp":"Tagir Ulanbekov","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":17,"x":660.1,"y":218.7,"elo":1455,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Victor Altamirano","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":18,"x":679.8,"y":242,"elo":1442,"date":"2023-10-21","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-13},{"i":19,"x":686.7,"y":205.4,"elo":1462,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Sumudaerji","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":20,"x":773.5,"y":174.7,"elo":1479,"date":"2025-08-16","opp":"Kai Asakura","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":21,"x":810,"y":203.4,"elo":1463,"date":"2026-05-02","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 2, 2026 Steve Erceg L -16
Aug 16, 2025 Kai Asakura W +17
Dec 9, 2023 Sumudaerji W +20
Oct 21, 2023 Muhammad Mokaev L -13
Jun 3, 2023 Victor Altamirano W +18

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
30%
3 / 10
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
3
30% of wins
DEC
7
70% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 3 (30%) 3 Dec: 7 (70%) 7
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
2 67%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 948 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
58% Head
  • Head 58%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 23%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
66% Distance
  • Distance 66%
  • Clinch 16%
  • Ground 18%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
42%
of losses by finish
5 of 12 · usually R1
0 KO/TKO 5 Sub 7 Dec Never been KO'd

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1534
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Louis Smolka
Elo 1572 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
9.3
+0.7 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 22 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1541
1532

Top flyweight

See full rankings →
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 · Elo 1646
Joshua Van C
#2 · Elo 1633
Manel Kape
#3 · Elo 1601
Tatsuro Taira
#4 · Elo 1597
Kyoji Horiguchi
#5 · Elo 1578
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Tim Elliott on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.