Carlos Mota "Tizil"
Inactive Provisional
At a glance
- Has never been finished — durability signal
Elo rating
1487
Global Elo 1513 ±20
Rank
—
—
UFC record
0-1-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-1
Δ90d +42 · Δ1y +42
Last fight
Oct 29, 2022
Loss by Decision
UFC debut the one fight we've seen
Lost by decision
Debut opponent
Cody Durden 1498
Elo at fight time · #36
The model gave Mota a 50% pre-fight chance against this opponent. It went the other way.
Debut performance
0.8
Strikes landed / min
41%
Striking accuracy
54%
Striking defense
0.2m
Control / 15 min
This rating is provisional — built from a single UFC fight, so its uncertainty band is wide (σ ≈ 20). It will sharpen with every bout, and can move a lot early on. How the model handles thin samples →
Career at a glance
Octagon time
15m
Avg fight time
15:00
Since last fight
3y 10mo
Division-adjusted profile
each axis = percentile in own divisionThe size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.
Honest Elo history
1 fights · tap & dragLast fights
Elo-based expectation · not betting advice| Date | Opponent | Result | Δ Elo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | Cody Durden | L | -29 |
Performance
Fighter vs division avg
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Strikes Landed per Minute
- 1Joshua Van8.43
- 2Brandon Royval5.60
- 3Jose Ochoa5.16
- 4Daniel Barez4.97
- 5Cj Vergara4.95
SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Striking Accuracy
- 1Joshua Van57%
- 2Cj Vergara57%
- 3Andre Lima55%
- 4Manel Kape55%
- 5Tatsuro Taira54%
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Lowest Strikes Absorbed
- 1Jose Johnson1.85
- 2Nyamjargal Tumendemberel1.92
- 3Asu Almabayev1.94
- 4Joseph Morales2.05
- 5Kyoji Horiguchi2.08
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Striking Defense
- 1Alden Coria70%
- 2Matheus Nicolau66%
- 3Kai Kara-France64%
- 4Kyoji Horiguchi64%
- 5Sumudaerji63%
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Takedowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Asu Almabayev4.74
- 2Cody Durden3.82
- 3Tim Elliott3.61
- 4Tatsuro Taira3.57
- 5Azat Maksum3.50
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Takedown Accuracy
- 1Nyamjargal Tumendemberel67%
- 2Jose Johnson67%
- 3Brandon Royval64%
- 4Joshua Van62%
- 5Andre Lima56%
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Takedown Defense
- 1Ramazan Temirov100%
- 2Matheus Nicolau90%
- 3Azat Maksum86%
- 4Alessandro Costa85%
- 5Kai Kara-France84%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Submission Attempts per 15 Min
- 1Joseph Morales3.04
- 2Jimmy Flick2.39
- 3Edgar Chairez1.82
- 4Tagir Ulanbekov1.52
- 5Alden Coria1.47
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Control Time per 15 Minutes
- 1Tatsuro Taira8.08
- 2Asu Almabayev7.34
- 3Tagir Ulanbekov6.11
- 4Cody Durden5.48
- 5Ronaldo Rodriguez4.92
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
Top 5 · flyweight
Knockdowns per 15 Minutes
- 1Ramazan Temirov3.38
- 2Matheus Nicolau0.97
- 3Manel Kape0.97
- 4Alessandro Costa0.85
- 5Alex Perez0.85
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg
Finishes
How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
Striking profile
Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 12 landed total · career
Targets head · body · leg
50% Head
- Head 50%
- Body 42%
- Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
58% Distance
- Distance 58%
- Clinch 0%
- Ground 42%
Strength of schedule in UFC
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1498
Developing slate
Quality wins (1600+)
Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
0
of 0 UFC wins
Toughest win
The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
—
Expected wins
How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
0.5
−0.5 wins below what this schedule implies
Career at a glance
Octagon time
15m
Avg fight time
15:00
Since last fight
3y 10mo
Top flyweight
See full rankings → Source
Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from
Carlos Mota on UFCStats →.
Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo —
not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.