HonestElo
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Daniel Barez

Active #45 flyweight
Elo rating
1467 ±38
LCB 1417
Rank
#45
top 85% of division
UFC record
1-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y 0
Last fight
Mar 15, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Jul 22, 2023 — L vs Jafel Filho Δ-35Sep 28, 2024 — W vs Victor Altamirano Δ+29Mar 15, 2025 — L vs Andre Lima Δ-27 14251452147915061534 20242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":158.2,"elo":1465,"date":"2023-07-22","opp":"Jafel Filho","result":"L","delta":-35},{"i":1,"x":638.2,"y":101.8,"elo":1494,"date":"2024-09-28","opp":"Victor Altamirano","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":154.9,"elo":1466,"date":"2025-03-15","opp":"Andre Lima","result":"L","delta":-27}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 15, 2025 Andre Lima L -27
Sep 28, 2024 Victor Altamirano W +29
Jul 22, 2023 Jafel Filho L -35

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.37 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
49% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
5.71 avg 2.87
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
49% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.43 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
20% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
57% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 1
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
1
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 1 (100%) 1

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1499
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.4
actual 0 vs expected