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Jake Hadley

Active #78 bantamweight
Elo rating
1479 ±37
LCB 1431
Rank
#78
top 82% of division
UFC record
3-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 1
Streak
-1
Δ90d +4 · Δ1y +4
Last fight
Oct 19, 2024
L by Decision

Elo history

7 fights · tap & drag
May 14, 2022 — L vs Allan Nascimento Δ-31Nov 5, 2022 — W vs Carlos Candelario Δ+33Mar 18, 2023 — W vs Malcolm Gordon Δ+31Aug 5, 2023 — L vs Cody Durden Δ-29May 11, 2024 — L vs Charles Johnson Δ-31Jul 27, 2024 — W vs Caolan Loughran Δ+18Oct 19, 2024 — L vs Cameron Smotherman Δ-16 14291465150115371573 20232024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":177.2,"elo":1469,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Allan Nascimento","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":1,"x":191.7,"y":128.3,"elo":1502,"date":"2022-11-05","opp":"Carlos Candelario","result":"W","delta":33},{"i":2,"x":319.2,"y":82.8,"elo":1533,"date":"2023-03-18","opp":"Malcolm Gordon","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":3,"x":453.4,"y":125.5,"elo":1504,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Cody Durden","result":"L","delta":-29},{"i":4,"x":721.7,"y":170.8,"elo":1473,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Charles Johnson","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":5,"x":795.5,"y":145.1,"elo":1491,"date":"2024-07-27","opp":"Caolan Loughran","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":6,"x":876,"y":167.8,"elo":1475,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Cameron Smotherman","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Oct 19, 2024 Cameron Smotherman L -16
Jul 27, 2024 Caolan Loughran W +18
May 11, 2024 Charles Johnson L -31
Aug 5, 2023 Cody Durden L -29
Mar 18, 2023 Malcolm Gordon W +31

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.59 avg 3.92
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
43% avg 49%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.01 avg 3.04
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 58%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.17 avg 1.64
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
6% avg 37%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
58% avg 69%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.83 avg 0.37
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
2 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
67%
2 / 3
Finish rate
KO
1
33% of wins
SUB
1
33% of wins
DEC
1
33% of wins
KO: 1 (33%) 1 Sub: 1 (33%) 1 Dec: 1 (33%) 1
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1499
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
3.5
actual -1 vs expected