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Cody Durden

Active #44 flyweight · Southpaw · 170 cm · reach 170 cm
Elo rating
1464 ±34
LCB 1421
Rank
#44
top 83% of division
UFC record
6-8-1
KO 1 · Sub 1 · Dec 4
Streak
-4
Δ90d -15 · Δ1y -50
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

15 fights · tap & drag
Aug 1, 2020 — D vs Chris Gutierrez Δ+5Dec 19, 2020 — L vs Jimmy Flick Δ-34Nov 20, 2021 — W vs Aoriqileng Δ+29Mar 19, 2022 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-33Jun 25, 2022 — W vs JP Buys Δ+31Oct 29, 2022 — W vs Carlos Mota Δ+16Apr 29, 2023 — W vs Charles Johnson Δ+16Aug 5, 2023 — W vs Jake Hadley Δ+16Dec 16, 2023 — L vs Tagir Ulanbekov Δ-18Jul 20, 2024 — L vs Bruno Silva Δ-18Sep 7, 2024 — W vs Matt Schnell Δ+19Dec 7, 2024 — L vs Joshua Van Δ-14Jun 14, 2025 — L vs Jose Ochoa Δ-21Nov 1, 2025 — L vs Allan Nascimento Δ-14Mar 7, 2026 — L vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel Δ-15 14241465150515451585 202120222023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":129.9,"elo":1505,"date":"2020-08-01","opp":"Chris Gutierrez","result":"D","delta":5},{"i":1,"x":82.4,"y":174.2,"elo":1471,"date":"2020-12-19","opp":"Jimmy Flick","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":2,"x":222.4,"y":136.3,"elo":1500,"date":"2021-11-20","opp":"Aoriqileng","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":272,"y":179.8,"elo":1467,"date":"2022-03-19","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":4,"x":312.9,"y":139.5,"elo":1498,"date":"2022-06-25","opp":"JP Buys","result":"W","delta":31},{"i":5,"x":365.4,"y":118.4,"elo":1514,"date":"2022-10-29","opp":"Carlos Mota","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":441.2,"y":98,"elo":1529,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Charles Johnson","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":7,"x":482.1,"y":76.6,"elo":1545,"date":"2023-08-05","opp":"Jake Hadley","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":537.5,"y":100.2,"elo":1528,"date":"2023-12-16","opp":"Tagir Ulanbekov","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":9,"x":628,"y":124,"elo":1509,"date":"2024-07-20","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":10,"x":648.4,"y":98.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2024-09-07","opp":"Matt Schnell","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":11,"x":686.3,"y":117.6,"elo":1514,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Joshua Van","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":12,"x":765.1,"y":144.8,"elo":1494,"date":"2025-06-14","opp":"Jose Ochoa","result":"L","delta":-21},{"i":13,"x":823.5,"y":163.9,"elo":1479,"date":"2025-11-01","opp":"Allan Nascimento","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":14,"x":876,"y":183.4,"elo":1464,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Nyamjargal Tumendemberel","result":"L","delta":-15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Nyamjargal Tumendemberel L -15
Nov 1, 2025 Allan Nascimento L -14
Jun 14, 2025 Jose Ochoa L -21
Dec 7, 2024 Joshua Van L -14
Sep 7, 2024 Matt Schnell W +19

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.88 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
45% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.61 avg 2.87
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
50% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
3.35 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
46% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
60% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.53 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
5 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
2 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
1
17% of wins
DEC
4
67% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 1 (17%) 1 Dec: 4 (67%) 4
Finishes by round
2 total
R1
1 50%
R2
1 50%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1527
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
7.3
actual -1 vs expected