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Kai Kara-France

Active #16 flyweight · Orthodox · 163 cm · reach 175 cm
Elo rating
1567 ±39
LCB 1516
Rank
#16
top 29% of division
UFC record
8-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Jun 28, 2025
L by Submission

Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Dec 1, 2018 — W vs Elias Garcia Δ+26Feb 9, 2019 — W vs Raulian Paiva Δ+27Aug 31, 2019 — W vs Mark De La Rosa Δ+24Dec 14, 2019 — L vs Brandon Moreno Δ-32Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Tyson Nam Δ+23Sep 26, 2020 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-20Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Rogerio Bontorin Δ+17Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Cody Garbrandt Δ+21Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Askar Askarov Δ+17Jul 30, 2022 — L vs Brandon Moreno Δ-23Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Amir Albazi Δ-14Aug 17, 2024 — W vs Steve Erceg Δ+18Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-16 14861525156416031642 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":181.7,"elo":1526,"date":"2018-12-01","opp":"Elias Garcia","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":48.8,"y":145.6,"elo":1552,"date":"2019-02-09","opp":"Raulian Paiva","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":120.9,"y":112.6,"elo":1577,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Mark De La Rosa","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":158.1,"y":156.5,"elo":1544,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":183,"y":125.1,"elo":1568,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Tyson Nam","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":5,"x":260,"y":152.9,"elo":1547,"date":"2020-09-26","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":317.1,"y":129.6,"elo":1564,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Rogerio Bontorin","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":416.5,"y":101,"elo":1585,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":453.7,"y":78.3,"elo":1602,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":498.4,"y":109.4,"elo":1579,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":10,"x":607.7,"y":129,"elo":1565,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Amir Albazi","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":764.2,"y":104.3,"elo":1583,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":876,"y":125.8,"elo":1567,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 28, 2025 Alexandre Pantoja L -16
Aug 17, 2024 Steve Erceg W +18
Jun 3, 2023 Amir Albazi L -14
Jul 30, 2022 Brandon Moreno L -23
Mar 26, 2022 Askar Askarov W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.19 avg 3.36
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
40% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.04 avg 2.86
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
64% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.53 avg 1.59
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
30% avg 43%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
84% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.77
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1614
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.6
actual +1 vs expected