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Kai Kara-France "Don't Blink"

Active #13 flyweight · age 33 · Orthodox · 5'4" 163 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 69" 175 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1519
Global Elo 1567 ±37
Rank
#13
top 28% of division
UFC record
8-5-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
-1
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y -16
Last fight
Jun 28, 2025
Loss by Submission · R3
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 40m
Avg fight time
12:17
Title fights
0-2
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.0
Since last fight
12mo

Honest Elo history

13 fights · tap & drag
Dec 1, 2018 — W vs Elias Garcia Δ+26Feb 9, 2019 — W vs Raulian Paiva Δ+27Aug 31, 2019 — W vs Mark De La Rosa Δ+24Dec 14, 2019 — L vs Brandon Moreno Δ-32Feb 22, 2020 — W vs Tyson Nam Δ+23Sep 26, 2020 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-20Mar 6, 2021 — W vs Rogerio Bontorin Δ+17Dec 11, 2021 — W vs Cody Garbrandt Δ+21Mar 26, 2022 — W vs Askar Askarov Δ+17Jul 30, 2022 — L vs Brandon Moreno Δ-23Jun 3, 2023 — L vs Amir Albazi Δ-14Aug 17, 2024 — W vs Steve Erceg Δ+18Jun 28, 2025 — L vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ-16 145014751500152515501575 202020222024 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":338.8,"elo":1478,"date":"2018-12-01","opp":"Elias Garcia","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":111,"y":270.7,"elo":1504,"date":"2019-02-09","opp":"Raulian Paiva","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":171.9,"y":208.5,"elo":1529,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Mark De La Rosa","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":3,"x":203.4,"y":291.2,"elo":1496,"date":"2019-12-14","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"L","delta":-32},{"i":4,"x":224.3,"y":232.1,"elo":1520,"date":"2020-02-22","opp":"Tyson Nam","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":5,"x":289.4,"y":284.6,"elo":1499,"date":"2020-09-26","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":337.7,"y":240.5,"elo":1516,"date":"2021-03-06","opp":"Rogerio Bontorin","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":7,"x":421.7,"y":186.5,"elo":1537,"date":"2021-12-11","opp":"Cody Garbrandt","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":8,"x":453.1,"y":143.8,"elo":1554,"date":"2022-03-26","opp":"Askar Askarov","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":9,"x":490.9,"y":202.4,"elo":1531,"date":"2022-07-30","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"L","delta":-23},{"i":10,"x":583.3,"y":239.5,"elo":1517,"date":"2023-06-03","opp":"Amir Albazi","result":"L","delta":-14},{"i":11,"x":715.5,"y":192.9,"elo":1535,"date":"2024-08-17","opp":"Steve Erceg","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":12,"x":810,"y":233.4,"elo":1519,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"L","delta":-16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jun 28, 2025 Alexandre Pantoja L -16
Aug 17, 2024 Steve Erceg W +18
Jun 3, 2023 Amir Albazi L -14
Jul 30, 2022 Brandon Moreno L -23
Mar 26, 2022 Askar Askarov W +17

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
3 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 712 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 15%
  • Leg 21%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
86% Distance
  • Distance 86%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
60%
of losses by finish
3 of 5 · usually R3
1 KO/TKO 2 Sub 2 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1614
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Cody Garbrandt
Elo 1616 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.6
+1.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 13 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1463
1695
Notable wins
Cody Garbrandt 1616

Top flyweight

See full rankings →
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 · Elo 1646
Joshua Van C
#2 · Elo 1633
Manel Kape
#3 · Elo 1601
Tatsuro Taira
#4 · Elo 1597
Kyoji Horiguchi
#5 · Elo 1578
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Kai Kara-France on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.