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Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez — Honest Elo matchup

women's strawweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Las Vegas
Oct 31, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
View full event card
Corner A
Talita Alencar
#10 4-1-0
Elo 1542
VS
Corner B
Piera Rodriguez
#17 5-2-0
Elo 1510

Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%
Corner A Talita Alencar 50.0%
Corner B Piera Rodriguez 50.0%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

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Other fights on this card · 7
Renato Moicano vs Tom Nolan Main event · lightweight Randy Brown vs Carlos Leal welterweight Yana Santos vs Luana Santos women's bantamweight Julian Erosa vs JeongYeong Lee featherweight Francis Marshall vs Gaston Bolanos featherweight Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski middleweight Ode Osbourne vs Cody Durden flyweight

Notable

Alencar

Has never been finished — the only loss went to the scorecards.

Rodriguez

Reach advantage of ~5".

Tale of the tape

4-1-0 UFC record 5-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 1 Finishes KO 0 · Sub 0
+3 Streak +3
36 Age 33
5'1" 155 cm Height 5'3" 160 cm
58" 147 cm Reach 63" 160 cm
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
1588 Global Elo 1556
1542 Elo rating 1510
Talita Alencar — Notable ▼
At a glance
Piera Rodriguez — Notable ▼
At a glance

Talita Alencar — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 242 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
61% Head
  • Head 61%
  • Body 29%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
64% Distance
  • Distance 64%
  • Clinch 12%
  • Ground 24%

Piera Rodriguez — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 392 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
53% Head
  • Head 53%
  • Body 36%
  • Leg 10%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
63% Distance
  • Distance 63%
  • Clinch 29%
  • Ground 8%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

3.24
4.23
div avg 4.88
36%
49%
div avg 48%
3.24
3.25
div avg 4.16
54%
52%
div avg 54%
2.82
4.21
div avg 1.78
38%
59%
div avg 46%
100%
82%
div avg 67%
0.60
0.00
div avg 0.58
5
5
div avg 4

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

vs Open the full side-by-side comparison →

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Talita Alencar
25% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 1
can finish?
Piera Rodriguez
finished 50%
1 of 2 losses
Piera Rodriguez
0% finish rate
KO 0 · Sub 0
can finish?
Talita Alencar
finished 0%
never finished

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1518 (Talita Alencar) vs 1534 (Piera Rodriguez).

Talita Alencar red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1518
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 4 UFC wins
Toughest win
Vanessa Demopoulos
Elo 1537 at fight time
Expected wins
2.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 5 fights
1500
1517
Piera Rodriguez blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1534
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 5 UFC wins
Toughest win
Josefine Knutsson
Elo 1555 at fight time
Expected wins
3.5
+1.5 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 7 fights
1473
1539

Common opponents

1 shared opponent · Corner A's result on the left, Corner B's on the right.

Corner A recent form
Talita Alencar
Corner B recent form
Piera Rodriguez
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Talita Alencar & Piera Rodriguez on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.