HonestElo
← flyweight

Luis Gurule

Active #52 flyweight
Elo rating
1419 ±20
LCB 1393
Rank
#52
top 98% of division
UFC record
0-3-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 0
Streak
-3
Δ90d -21 · Δ1y -81
Last fight
Feb 21, 2026
L by Decision

Elo history

3 fights · tap & drag
Apr 5, 2025 — L vs Ode Osbourne Δ-36Sep 13, 2025 — L vs Jesus Aguilar Δ-24Feb 21, 2026 — L vs Alden Coria Δ-21 13791411144214731504 2026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":91.9,"elo":1464,"date":"2025-04-05","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":1,"x":450,"y":132,"elo":1441,"date":"2025-09-13","opp":"Jesus Aguilar","result":"L","delta":-24},{"i":2,"x":876,"y":168.1,"elo":1419,"date":"2026-02-21","opp":"Alden Coria","result":"L","delta":-21}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 21, 2026 Alden Coria L -21
Sep 13, 2025 Jesus Aguilar L -24
Apr 5, 2025 Ode Osbourne L -36

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.17 avg 3.39
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
34% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
4.55 avg 2.87
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
60% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.75 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
17% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
78% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.00 avg 0.74
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 0
Finish rate
KO
0
—
SUB
0
—
DEC
0
—
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 0 (0%)

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1511
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
1.3
actual -1 vs expected