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Kyoji Horiguchi

Active #3 flyweight · Orthodox · 165 cm · reach 168 cm
Elo rating
1640 ±24
LCB 1609
Rank
#3
top 4% of division
UFC record
9-1-0
KO 2 · Sub 1 · Dec 6
Streak
+5
Δ90d +16 · Δ1y +35
Last fight
Feb 7, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Oct 19, 2013 — W vs Dustin Pague Δ+26May 10, 2014 — W vs Darrell Montague Δ+24Sep 20, 2014 — W vs Jon Delos Reyes Δ+25Jan 3, 2015 — W vs Louis Gaudinot Δ+21Apr 25, 2015 — L vs Demetrious Johnson Δ-33Sep 26, 2015 — W vs Chico Camus Δ+14May 8, 2016 — W vs Neil Seery Δ+14Nov 19, 2016 — W vs Ali Bagautinov Δ+14Nov 22, 2025 — W vs Tagir Ulanbekov Δ+19Feb 7, 2026 — W vs Amir Albazi Δ+16 14861534158316311680 2016201920222025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":192.3,"elo":1526,"date":"2013-10-19","opp":"Dustin Pague","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":1,"x":62.5,"y":165.6,"elo":1550,"date":"2014-05-10","opp":"Darrell Montague","result":"W","delta":24},{"i":2,"x":87.7,"y":138,"elo":1576,"date":"2014-09-20","opp":"Jon Delos Reyes","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":3,"x":107.6,"y":115.5,"elo":1596,"date":"2015-01-03","opp":"Louis Gaudinot","result":"W","delta":21},{"i":4,"x":128.8,"y":151.4,"elo":1563,"date":"2015-04-25","opp":"Demetrious Johnson","result":"L","delta":-33},{"i":5,"x":158,"y":136.6,"elo":1577,"date":"2015-09-26","opp":"Chico Camus","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":200.7,"y":121,"elo":1591,"date":"2016-05-08","opp":"Neil Seery","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":237.7,"y":105.5,"elo":1605,"date":"2016-11-19","opp":"Ali Bagautinov","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":861.4,"y":85.1,"elo":1624,"date":"2025-11-22","opp":"Tagir Ulanbekov","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":67.7,"elo":1640,"date":"2026-02-07","opp":"Amir Albazi","result":"W","delta":16}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Feb 7, 2026 Amir Albazi W +16
Nov 22, 2025 Tagir Ulanbekov W +19
Nov 19, 2016 Ali Bagautinov W +14
May 8, 2016 Neil Seery W +14
Sep 26, 2015 Chico Camus W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
3.64 avg 3.38
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
47% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.06 avg 2.90
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
64% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
1.55 avg 1.55
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
41% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
61% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.10 avg 0.76
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
3 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
33%
3 / 9
Finish rate
KO
2
22% of wins
SUB
1
11% of wins
DEC
6
67% of wins
KO: 2 (22%) 2 Sub: 1 (11%) 1 Dec: 6 (67%) 6
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1566
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.5
actual +3 vs expected