HonestElo
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Charles Johnson

Elo rating
1537 ±34
LCB 1492
Rank
#23
top 42% of division
UFC record
8-6-0
KO 3 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+1
Δ90d -2 · Δ1y +18
Last fight
Mar 14, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

14 fights · tap & drag
Jul 23, 2022 — L vs Muhammad Mokaev Δ-26Nov 19, 2022 — W vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov Δ+25Jan 14, 2023 — W vs Jimmy Flick Δ+36Feb 25, 2023 — L vs Ode Osbourne Δ-31Apr 29, 2023 — L vs Cody Durden Δ-28Nov 18, 2023 — L vs Rafael Estevam Δ-15Feb 3, 2024 — W vs Azat Maksum Δ+19May 11, 2024 — W vs Jake Hadley Δ+17Jul 13, 2024 — W vs Joshua Van Δ+23Oct 19, 2024 — W vs Sumudaerji Δ+15Mar 1, 2025 — L vs Ramazan Temirov Δ-16Aug 23, 2025 — W vs Lone'Er Kavanagh Δ+20Jan 24, 2026 — L vs Alex Perez Δ-18Mar 14, 2026 — W vs Bruno Silva Δ+15 14211461150015401579 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":165,"elo":1474,"date":"2022-07-23","opp":"Muhammad Mokaev","result":"L","delta":-26},{"i":1,"x":100.2,"y":131.7,"elo":1499,"date":"2022-11-19","opp":"Zhalgas Zhumagulov","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":136.1,"y":82.9,"elo":1535,"date":"2023-01-14","opp":"Jimmy Flick","result":"W","delta":36},{"i":3,"x":163,"y":124.8,"elo":1504,"date":"2023-02-25","opp":"Ode Osbourne","result":"L","delta":-31},{"i":4,"x":203.4,"y":162.3,"elo":1476,"date":"2023-04-29","opp":"Cody Durden","result":"L","delta":-28},{"i":5,"x":333.4,"y":182.3,"elo":1461,"date":"2023-11-18","opp":"Rafael Estevam","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":6,"x":382.7,"y":156.7,"elo":1480,"date":"2024-02-03","opp":"Azat Maksum","result":"W","delta":19},{"i":7,"x":445.5,"y":133.8,"elo":1497,"date":"2024-05-11","opp":"Jake Hadley","result":"W","delta":17},{"i":8,"x":485.9,"y":103.6,"elo":1520,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Joshua Van","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":9,"x":548.7,"y":83.3,"elo":1535,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Sumudaerji","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":10,"x":633.9,"y":104.9,"elo":1519,"date":"2025-03-01","opp":"Ramazan Temirov","result":"L","delta":-16},{"i":11,"x":746,"y":77.7,"elo":1539,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Lone'Er Kavanagh","result":"W","delta":20},{"i":12,"x":844.6,"y":101.6,"elo":1521,"date":"2026-01-24","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"L","delta":-18},{"i":13,"x":876,"y":81,"elo":1537,"date":"2026-03-14","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"W","delta":15}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 14, 2026 Bruno Silva W +15
Jan 24, 2026 Alex Perez L -18
Aug 23, 2025 Lone'Er Kavanagh W +20
Mar 1, 2025 Ramazan Temirov L -16
Oct 19, 2024 Sumudaerji W +15

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.58 avg 3.35
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
50% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
3.86 avg 2.83
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
56% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.49 avg 1.59
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
17% avg 43%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
69% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.32 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
38%
3 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
63% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (63%) 5
Finishes by round
3 total
R1
1 33%
R2
1 33%
R3
1 33%
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1529
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
6.7
actual +1 vs expected