HonestElo
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Sumudaerji

Active #26 flyweight
Elo rating
1531 ±37
LCB 1484
Rank
#26
top 48% of division
UFC record
6-4-0
KO 1 · Sub 0 · Dec 5
Streak
+3
Δ90d +17 · Δ1y +48
Last fight
Mar 7, 2026
W by Decision

Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
Nov 24, 2018 — L vs Louis Smolka Δ-30Aug 31, 2019 — W vs Andre Soukhamthath Δ+29Nov 28, 2020 — W vs Malcolm Gordon Δ+30Jan 20, 2021 — W vs Zarrukh Adashev Δ+23Jul 16, 2022 — L vs Matt Schnell Δ-34Dec 9, 2023 — L vs Tim Elliott Δ-20Oct 19, 2024 — L vs Charles Johnson Δ-15Apr 12, 2025 — W vs Mitch Raposo Δ+15Aug 23, 2025 — W vs Kevin Borjas Δ+15Mar 7, 2026 — W vs Jesus Aguilar Δ+17 14301471151215521593 2020202220242026 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":183.9,"elo":1470,"date":"2018-11-24","opp":"Louis Smolka","result":"L","delta":-30},{"i":1,"x":113.7,"y":145.6,"elo":1500,"date":"2019-08-31","opp":"Andre Soukhamthath","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":2,"x":259.4,"y":106.5,"elo":1530,"date":"2020-11-28","opp":"Malcolm Gordon","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":3,"x":276.4,"y":76.1,"elo":1553,"date":"2021-01-20","opp":"Zarrukh Adashev","result":"W","delta":23},{"i":4,"x":450,"y":120.7,"elo":1519,"date":"2022-07-16","opp":"Matt Schnell","result":"L","delta":-34},{"i":5,"x":613.7,"y":146.7,"elo":1499,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Tim Elliott","result":"L","delta":-20},{"i":6,"x":714.6,"y":166.4,"elo":1484,"date":"2024-10-19","opp":"Charles Johnson","result":"L","delta":-15},{"i":7,"x":770.6,"y":146.2,"elo":1499,"date":"2025-04-12","opp":"Mitch Raposo","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":8,"x":813.2,"y":126.7,"elo":1514,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Kevin Borjas","result":"W","delta":15},{"i":9,"x":876,"y":104.1,"elo":1531,"date":"2026-03-07","opp":"Jesus Aguilar","result":"W","delta":17}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Mar 7, 2026 Jesus Aguilar W +17
Aug 23, 2025 Kevin Borjas W +15
Apr 12, 2025 Mitch Raposo W +15
Oct 19, 2024 Charles Johnson L -15
Dec 9, 2023 Tim Elliott L -20

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
4.11 avg 3.37
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
51% avg 47%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.17 avg 2.89
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
62% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
0.63 avg 1.58
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
36% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
72% avg 63%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
0.50 avg 0.75
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
1 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
17%
1 / 6
Finish rate
KO
1
17% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
5
83% of wins
KO: 1 (17%) 1 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 5 (83%) 5
Finishes by round
1 total
R1
1 100%
R2
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1500
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.1
actual +1 vs expected