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Azamat Bekoev vs Andre Petroski — Honest Elo matchup

middleweight
Other bouts 11
Fight Card
UFC Fight Night Las Vegas
Oct 31, 2026 · Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Honest Elo Meter

20,000-simulation Monte Carlo · samples each fighter's Elo uncertainty

0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

By running the simulation you acknowledge that this is data analysis, not betting advice. Run-to-run variance reflects rating uncertainty.

Notable

Form

Both enter off a loss (Apr 2026 / May 2026).

Tale of the tape

2-2-0 UFC record 8-5-0
KO 2 · Sub 0 Finishes KO 1 · Sub 2
-2 Streak -3
30 Age 35
6'0" 183 cm Height 6'0" 183 cm
72" 183 cm Reach 73" 185 cm
Orthodox Stance Switch
1491 Global Elo 1558
1434 Elo rating 1511
Azamat Bekoev — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 100% of wins by KO/TKO
  • 100% of wins finished in round 1
Andre Petroski — Notable ▼
At a glance
  • 3-fight losing streak — needs a turnaround
  • 100% takedown defense in last 3 fights

Azamat Bekoev — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 138 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 28%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
66% Distance
  • Distance 66%
  • Clinch 13%
  • Ground 21%

Andre Petroski — Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 370 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
64% Head
  • Head 64%
  • Body 20%
  • Leg 16%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
75% Distance
  • Distance 75%
  • Clinch 2%
  • Ground 22%

Performance comparison

Career averages. Edge highlighted on the side that's better. = division average.

4.57
2.75
div avg 4.55
52%
49%
div avg 52%
6.83
2.99
div avg 3.30
31%
52%
div avg 54%
3.48
3.13
div avg 1.53
44%
53%
div avg 44%
63%
86%
div avg 75%
0.00
1.23
div avg 0.46
4
6
div avg 3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
Loading profile…

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Finish & durability

How each tends to win, against how hard the other is to finish.

Azamat Bekoev
100% finish rate
KO 2 · Sub 0
can finish?
Andre Petroski
finished 80%
4 of 5 losses
Andre Petroski
38% finish rate
KO 1 · Sub 2
can finish?
Azamat Bekoev
finished 100%
2 of 2 losses

Strength of schedule in UFC

Comparable recent competition — last-5 avg 1510 (Azamat Bekoev) vs 1508 (Andre Petroski).

Azamat Bekoev red corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1510
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 2 UFC wins
Toughest win
Ryan Loder
Elo 1541 at fight time
Expected wins
2.1
−0.1 below schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 4 fights
1530
1468
Andre Petroski blue corner
Avg opp Elo (last 5)
1508
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+)
0
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win
Gerald Meerschaert
Elo 1561 at fight time
Expected wins
7.9
+0.1 above schedule
Opponent Elo over career · 13 fights
1500
1454
Corner A recent form
Azamat Bekoev
Corner B recent form
Andre Petroski
Source Per-fighter stats and bout records from Azamat Bekoev & Andre Petroski on UFCStats. Honest Elo Meter samples each fighter's rating uncertainty (1,000 Monte Carlo iterations). Data analysis, not betting advice. Not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.