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Tatsuro Taira

Active #2 flyweight
Elo rating
1664 ±23
LCB 1634
Rank
#2
top 2% of division
UFC record
8-1-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 · Dec 2
Streak
+2
Δ90d 0 · Δ1y +34
Last fight
Dec 6, 2025
W by KO

Elo history

9 fights · tap & drag
May 14, 2022 — W vs Carlos Candelario Δ+29Oct 15, 2022 — W vs Cj Vergara Δ+30Feb 4, 2023 — W vs Jesus Aguilar Δ+28Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Edgar Chairez Δ+22Dec 9, 2023 — W vs Carlos Hernandez Δ+25Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Alex Perez Δ+16Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-19Aug 2, 2025 — W vs Hyunsung Park Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+18 14891543159716501704 202320242025 [{"i":0,"x":24,"y":196.6,"elo":1529,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Carlos Candelario","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":124.8,"y":166.8,"elo":1559,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Cj Vergara","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":198.1,"y":139.6,"elo":1587,"date":"2023-02-04","opp":"Jesus Aguilar","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":298.8,"y":118.3,"elo":1608,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Edgar Chairez","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":4,"x":399.6,"y":93.8,"elo":1633,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Carlos Hernandez","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":523.3,"y":78.2,"elo":1649,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":601.2,"y":97.1,"elo":1630,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":793.5,"y":81.1,"elo":1646,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Hyunsung Park","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":876,"y":63.4,"elo":1664,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":18}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Dec 6, 2025 Brandon Moreno W +18
Aug 2, 2025 Hyunsung Park W +16
Oct 12, 2024 Brandon Royval L -19
Jun 15, 2024 Alex Perez W +16
Dec 9, 2023 Carlos Hernandez W +25

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
2.56 avg 3.42
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
60% avg 46%
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
2.13 avg 2.89
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Strike Defense
47% avg 56%
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
2.73 avg 1.51
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
47% avg 42%
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
45% avg 64%
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
1.36 avg 0.72
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions.
Control Time (sec)
7 avg 3
Above division avg (>+10%)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg (<−10%)

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
1 17%
R2
5 83%
R3
R4
R5

Strength of schedule

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1582
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. Actual − expected shows whether this fighter outperformed or underperformed their matchups.
5.1
actual +3 vs expected