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Tatsuro Taira "The Best"

Active #4 flyweight · age 26 · Orthodox · 5'7" 170 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 70" 178 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1597
Global Elo 1640 ±33
Rank
#4
top 7% of division
UFC record
8-2-0
KO 3 · Sub 3 · Dec 2
Streak
-1
Δ90d -24 · Δ1y +10
Last fight
May 9, 2026
Loss by KO · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 58m
Avg fight time
11:46
Title fights
0-1
Bonuses
5
Fights per year
2.5
Ground control
1h 3m
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

10 fights · tap & drag
May 14, 2022 — W vs Carlos Candelario Δ+29Oct 15, 2022 — W vs Cj Vergara Δ+30Feb 4, 2023 — W vs Jesus Aguilar Δ+28Jul 8, 2023 — W vs Edgar Chairez Δ+22Dec 9, 2023 — W vs Carlos Hernandez Δ+25Jun 15, 2024 — W vs Alex Perez Δ+16Oct 12, 2024 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-19Aug 2, 2025 — W vs Hyunsung Park Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+18May 9, 2026 — L vs Joshua Van Δ-24 14501500155016001650 2023202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":352.7,"elo":1486,"date":"2022-05-14","opp":"Carlos Candelario","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":166.2,"y":304.2,"elo":1516,"date":"2022-10-15","opp":"Cj Vergara","result":"W","delta":30},{"i":2,"x":221.5,"y":260.1,"elo":1544,"date":"2023-02-04","opp":"Jesus Aguilar","result":"W","delta":28},{"i":3,"x":297.7,"y":225.4,"elo":1565,"date":"2023-07-08","opp":"Edgar Chairez","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":4,"x":373.8,"y":185.5,"elo":1590,"date":"2023-12-09","opp":"Carlos Hernandez","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":5,"x":467.3,"y":160.2,"elo":1606,"date":"2024-06-15","opp":"Alex Perez","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":6,"x":526.2,"y":191,"elo":1587,"date":"2024-10-12","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-19},{"i":7,"x":671.5,"y":164.9,"elo":1603,"date":"2025-08-02","opp":"Hyunsung Park","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":8,"x":733.8,"y":136.1,"elo":1621,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":18},{"i":9,"x":810,"y":174.5,"elo":1597,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Joshua Van","result":"L","delta":-24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2026 Joshua Van L -24
Dec 6, 2025 Brandon Moreno W +18
Aug 2, 2025 Hyunsung Park W +16
Oct 12, 2024 Brandon Royval L -19
Jun 15, 2024 Alex Perez W +16

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
75%
6 / 8
Finish rate
KO
3
38% of wins
SUB
3
38% of wins
DEC
2
25% of wins
KO: 3 (38%) 3 Sub: 3 (38%) 3 Dec: 2 (25%) 2
Finishes by round
6 total
R1
1 17%
R2
5 83%
R3
R4
R5

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 337 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
78% Head
  • Head 78%
  • Body 8%
  • Leg 14%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
54% Distance
  • Distance 54%
  • Clinch 4%
  • Ground 42%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
50%
of losses by finish
1 of 2
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 1 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1608
Contender level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 8 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1638 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
5.6
+2.4 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 10 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1649
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Tatsuro Taira on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.