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Joshua Van "The Fearless" C

Active #2 flyweight · age 24 · Orthodox · 5'5" 165 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 65" 165 cm
At a glance
Elo rating
1633
Global Elo 1673 ±31
Rank
#2
top 2% of division
UFC record
10-1-0
KO 4 · Sub 0 · Dec 6
Streak
+7
Δ90d +24 · Δ1y +69
Last fight
May 9, 2026
Win by KO · R5
Career at a glance
Octagon time
2h 26m
Avg fight time
13:15
Title fights
2-0
Bonuses
3
Fights per year
3.8
Since last fight
1mo

Honest Elo history

11 fights · tap & drag
Jun 24, 2023 — W vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov Δ+22Nov 11, 2023 — W vs Kevin Borjas Δ+27Jan 13, 2024 — W vs Felipe Bunes Δ+29Jul 13, 2024 — L vs Charles Johnson Δ-41Sep 14, 2024 — W vs Edgar Chairez Δ+26Dec 7, 2024 — W vs Cody Durden Δ+14Mar 8, 2025 — W vs Rei Tsuruya Δ+14Jun 7, 2025 — W vs Bruno Silva Δ+14Jun 28, 2025 — W vs Brandon Royval Δ+16Dec 6, 2025 — W vs Alexandre Pantoja Δ+29May 9, 2026 — W vs Tatsuro Taira Δ+24 145015001550160016501700 202420252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":369.4,"elo":1482,"date":"2023-06-24","opp":"Zhalgas Zhumagulov","result":"W","delta":22},{"i":1,"x":186,"y":334.9,"elo":1509,"date":"2023-11-11","opp":"Kevin Borjas","result":"W","delta":27},{"i":2,"x":229.2,"y":298.4,"elo":1537,"date":"2024-01-13","opp":"Felipe Bunes","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":3,"x":354,"y":350.4,"elo":1497,"date":"2024-07-13","opp":"Charles Johnson","result":"L","delta":-41},{"i":4,"x":397.2,"y":317.1,"elo":1523,"date":"2024-09-14","opp":"Edgar Chairez","result":"W","delta":26},{"i":5,"x":454.8,"y":298.6,"elo":1537,"date":"2024-12-07","opp":"Cody Durden","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":6,"x":517.2,"y":281,"elo":1551,"date":"2025-03-08","opp":"Rei Tsuruya","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":7,"x":579.6,"y":263.7,"elo":1564,"date":"2025-06-07","opp":"Bruno Silva","result":"W","delta":14},{"i":8,"x":594,"y":243.6,"elo":1580,"date":"2025-06-28","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"W","delta":16},{"i":9,"x":704.4,"y":206.6,"elo":1609,"date":"2025-12-06","opp":"Alexandre Pantoja","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":10,"x":810,"y":175.8,"elo":1633,"date":"2026-05-09","opp":"Tatsuro Taira","result":"W","delta":24}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
May 9, 2026 Tatsuro Taira W +24
Dec 6, 2025 Alexandre Pantoja W +29
Jun 28, 2025 Brandon Royval W +16
Jun 7, 2025 Bruno Silva W +14
Mar 8, 2025 Rei Tsuruya W +14

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
40%
4 / 10
Finish rate
KO
4
40% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
6
60% of wins
KO: 4 (40%) 4 Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 6 (60%) 6
Finishes by round
4 total
R1
1 25%
R2
1 25%
R3
1 25%
R4
R5
1 25%

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 1230 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
73% Head
  • Head 73%
  • Body 19%
  • Leg 8%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
87% Distance
  • Distance 87%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 5%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
1 of 1
1 KO/TKO 0 Sub 0 Dec Never submitted

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1600
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
2
of 10 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Alexandre Pantoja
Elo 1711 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
6.0
+4.0 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 11 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1411
1664
Notable wins
Alexandre Pantoja 1711 Tatsuro Taira 1664

Top flyweight

See full rankings →
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 · Elo 1646
Manel Kape
#3 · Elo 1601
Tatsuro Taira
#4 · Elo 1597
Kyoji Horiguchi
#5 · Elo 1578
Asu Almabayev
#6 · Elo 1573
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Joshua Van on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.