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Lone'Er Kavanagh

Active #26 flyweight · age 27 · Orthodox · 5'6" 168 cm · 125 lb 57 kg · reach 67" 170 cm
Upcoming bout Sat, Oct 24
vs Ramazan Temirov · UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
At a glance
  • Fight of the Night in last fight
  • Earned a bonus in 2 of last 5 fights
Elo rating
1467
Global Elo 1522 ±43
Rank
#26
top 56% of division
UFC record
3-2-0
KO 0 · Sub 0 · Dec 3
Streak
-1
Δ90d -32 · Δ1y -31
Last fight
Jul 11, 2026
Loss by Submission · R3

Division-adjusted profile

each axis = percentile in own division
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vs Compare across divisions →

The size-fair view: each fighter is measured against his own division, so a heavyweight's lower raw pace isn't punished. Toughness inverts strikes absorbed. Raw career numbers are in Performance above.

Honest Elo history

5 fights · tap & drag
Nov 23, 2024 — W vs Jose Ochoa Δ+29Mar 22, 2025 — W vs Felipe Dos Santos Δ+25Aug 23, 2025 — L vs Charles Johnson Δ-36Feb 28, 2026 — W vs Brandon Moreno Δ+37Jul 11, 2026 — L vs Brandon Royval Δ-32 14401460148015001520 20252026 [{"i":0,"x":90,"y":277.6,"elo":1473,"date":"2024-11-23","opp":"Jose Ochoa","result":"W","delta":29},{"i":1,"x":234,"y":178,"elo":1498,"date":"2025-03-22","opp":"Felipe Dos Santos","result":"W","delta":25},{"i":2,"x":420.4,"y":323.6,"elo":1462,"date":"2025-08-23","opp":"Charles Johnson","result":"L","delta":-36},{"i":3,"x":649.1,"y":175.2,"elo":1499,"date":"2026-02-28","opp":"Brandon Moreno","result":"W","delta":37},{"i":4,"x":810,"y":304,"elo":1467,"date":"2026-07-11","opp":"Brandon Royval","result":"L","delta":-32}]

Last fights

Elo-based expectation · not betting advice
Date Opponent Result Δ Elo
Jul 11, 2026 Brandon Royval L -32
Feb 28, 2026 Brandon Moreno W +37
Aug 23, 2025 Charles Johnson L -36
Mar 22, 2025 Felipe Dos Santos W +25
Nov 23, 2024 Jose Ochoa W +29
2 post-fight bonuses
  • Performance of the Night ×1
  • Fight of the Night ×1
$200,000 in bonus money

UFC awards a discretionary bonus for the night's best fight and finishes. Lone'Er Kavanagh has earned 2. The payout was $50,000 from 2014 to 2025 and $100,000 from 2026; select cards have paid more.

Performance

SLpM Significant Strikes Landed per Minute. Higher = busier striker.
Strikes Landed
L1L3L5
Str Acc Striking accuracy: significant strikes landed / attempted. Higher = more efficient striker.
Strike Accuracy
L1L3L5
SApM Significant Strikes Absorbed per Minute. How often opponents land on this fighter. Lower is better.
Strikes Absorbed
L1L3L5
Str Def Share of opponent’s significant strike attempts that miss or are blocked. Higher is better.
Striking Defense
L1L3L5
TD / 15 min Takedowns landed per 15 minutes (one full 3-round fight). Measures wrestling output.
Takedowns
L1L3L5
TD Acc Takedowns landed / attempted. Higher = cleaner entries.
Takedown Accuracy
L1L3L5
TD Def Share of opponent takedown attempts stuffed. Higher = harder to put on the mat.
Takedown Defense
L1L3L5
Sub / 15 min Submission attempts per 15 minutes. Counts attempts, not just finishes — a proxy for grappling aggression.
Submission Attempts
L1L3L5
Ctrl / 15 min Control time in seconds per 15 minutes. Time in dominant grappling positions. 240 = 4 min, the realistic high-end across divisions.
Control Time (sec)
L1L3L5
KD / 15 min Knockdowns landed per 15 minutes. Counts every flash KD even if the fight continued — measures stopping power across all rounds, not just finishes.
Knockdowns
L1L3L5
Above division avg (intensity ∝ how far)
Near avg (±10%)
Below division avg

Finishes

How wins come Finish rate = (KO + Submission wins) / total UFC wins. Measures how often this fighter closes the show before the scorecards.
0%
0 / 3
Finish rate
KO
0
0% of wins
SUB
0
0% of wins
DEC
3
100% of wins
KO: 0 (0%) Sub: 0 (0%) Dec: 3 (100%) 3

Striking profile

Where significant strikes land — by target zone and by position. 321 landed total · career

Targets head · body · leg
57% Head
  • Head 57%
  • Body 25%
  • Leg 18%
Positions distance · clinch · ground
80% Distance
  • Distance 80%
  • Clinch 8%
  • Ground 12%

Durability

How they're beaten How fights end AGAINST this fighter. Finished-against rate = (times KO'd + submitted) / total UFC losses. A low rate means they rarely get stopped.
100%
of losses by finish
2 of 2
1 KO/TKO 1 Sub 0 Dec

Strength of schedule in UFC

Avg opp Elo (last 5) Average Elo rating of the last 5 opponents this fighter faced. A proxy for schedule difficulty — 1700+ is elite-level competition, 1500 is a UFC average opponent.
1537
UFC level
Quality wins (1600+) Wins over opponents rated 1600+ Elo at the time of the fight — clearly above the ~1500 UFC average, contender tier. A count of genuine quality results, not record-padding.
1
of 3 UFC wins
Toughest win The highest-rated opponent this fighter has a win over, by that opponent's Elo at fight time.
Brandon Moreno
Elo 1620 at fight time
Expected wins How many wins an average fighter would be expected to have against this exact schedule, based on pre-fight Elo win probabilities. The line below shows whether this fighter is over- or under-performing their matchups.
2.5
+0.5 wins above what this schedule implies
Opponent Elo over career · 5 UFC fights, oldest → newest
1500
1565
Notable wins
Brandon Moreno 1620
Career at a glance
Octagon time
1h 18m
Avg fight time
15:39
Fights per year
3.1
Since last fight
1mo
Bonuses
2
vs Compare Lone'Er Kavanagh with any fighter any division · any era · honest simulation →

Top flyweight

See full rankings →
Alexandre Pantoja
#1 · Elo 1646
Joshua Van C
#2 · Elo 1633
Manel Kape
#3 · Elo 1601
Tatsuro Taira
#4 · Elo 1597
Asu Almabayev
#5 · Elo 1593
Source Raw fight data and per-bout statistics come from Lone'Er Kavanagh on UFCStats →. Elo rating, uncertainty bands, and division-relative analytics computed by HonestElo — not affiliated with or endorsed by the Ultimate Fighting Championship.